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DAWN WIRE SERVICE

------------------------------------------------------------------- Week Ending : 12 October, 1995 Issue : 01/40 -------------------------------------------------------------------
The DAWN Wire Service (DWS) is a free weekly news-service from Pakistan's largest English language newspaper, the daily DAWN. DWS offers news, analysis and features of particular interest to the Pakistani Community on the Internet. Extracts from DWS can be used provided that this entire header is included at the beginning of each extract. We encourage comments & suggestions. We can be reached at: e-mail dws%dawn@sdnpk.undp.org fax +92(21) 568-3188 & 568-3801 mail Pakistan Herald Publications (Pvt.) Limited DAWN Group of Newspapers Haroon House, Karachi 74400, Pakistan (c) Pakistan Herald Publications (Pvt.) Ltd., Pakistan - 1995

CONTENTS

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NATIONAL NEWS

------------------------- Karachi ..........Six killed in city violence ..........Five killed in city violence ..........Four gunned down in violence ..........PPP man among six shot dead in violence ..........Four MQM men shot dead in custody ..........One killed, six vehicles torched MQM ..........Dehlavi gets govts reply; decision on talks today ..........MQM says govt reply disappointing ..........Altaf sends documents to ICJ ..........Altaf seeks peoples help ..........MQM sends reply to govt ..........Dehlavi criticises attack on Secretariat ..........Altaf accuses police of murder in custody ..........Babar blames MQM for rocket attack ..........Altaf asks supporters to remain united ..........MQM strike today ..........SDM to probe into killing of three MQM activists ..........4 MQM men arrested PPP voters leaving party, claims PML leader Govt to discuss issue of members production with opposition PML unity talks today amid hopes & scepticism Noorani supports black day call Military should not interfere in internal affairs, seminar told New alliance to counter strikes PM "mortgaging sovereignty" of state, says Nawaz Murtaza lashes out at Benazir Awan made Punjabs senior minister Rockets tear into Sindh secretariat : no casualties Shah fears more attacks, orders tighter security Ministers, others condemn rocket attack Murtaza demands mid-term poll PML divided on issue of observing black day Nawaz's bank accounts frozen Pervaiz demands date for mid-term polls -------------------------------------

BUSINESS & ECONOMICS

------------------------------------- State Bank wants tax exemptions withdrawn Saudi Companys thinking of cancelling sugar deals Rs 50bn loss due to 15 strikes, says N D Khan Steps to cut borrowings Fiscal situation to be monitored World Bank report lauds SAP World Bank faces funding crisis Concern over UBL sale move ---------------------------------------

EDITORIALS & FEATURES

--------------------------------------- Bare bones unrefuted Ardeshir Cowasjee Began with a bang and ended with a whimper Editorial Column SAP: myths and realities Akbar Sher Babar The dynamics of revolution Mazdak Ordeal of ID cards Editorial Column The PPP in Punjab: staving off the inevitable Ayaz Amir Not a clean bill of health Editorial Column Corruption at the top Editorial Column If only they would see reason Editorial Column Attack on Sindh Secretariat Editorial Column Danger alert by State Bank Sultan Ahmed -----------

SPORTS

----------- Pakistan team in high spirits for today's tie

NATIONAL NEWS

=================================================================== 951006 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Six killed in city violence ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 5: Six people were shot dead in the city on Thursday. Four of them were gunned down in separate incidents, on suspicion of being police informers, police said. The bullet-riddled bodies of Mohammad Aslam, 24, and Mohammad Ismail, 26, were found in Orangi. According to police, four unidentified young men riding a Suzuki-carry arrived at their residence, knocked at the door and called them out for a personal matter. Later the young men forced them into the vehicle and fled. On Thursday, their bodies, placed on a push-cart were found. Their bodies were taken to Abbasi Shaheed Hospital for autopsy. A father and a son were found dead in the Sharafi Goth area. The victims were identified as Abdul Aziz, 60, and his son Imran, 30. They were alleged to be police informers, the police said. The unidentified persons had kidnapped them outside their house on Wednesday, drilled holes with an electric machine into their bodies, besides using other method of torture on them. The father who had looked for his son kidnapped at 1 pm, throughout the day, was sitting outside his house when the same gang pounced on him at 6 pm and took him to their hideout. On a tip-off, the family of victims went to Gulistan Masjid in Korangi to collect their bodies, but they found nothing except congealed blood and hairs. On Thursday, their bodies were found in Sharafi Goth. Notes, from someone Lushpash, were found on them stating the result of spying. Mohammad Afzal, 25, was shot dead in Korangi. Unidentified men shot and injured Mohammad Mumtaz, said to be an MQM Haqiqi worker, in Federal B Area. Darogha Makhdoom Ahmad, 58, was standing outside his house in New Karachi when unidentified persons gunned him down and fled. He was hit in the head and taken to Abbasi Shaheed Hospital where he was pronounced dead. Another man, Mumtaz, was wounded in a shooting incident in Jauharabad. 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Five killed in city violence ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 6: Five people were killed and five wounded in city violence on Friday. As a result of day-long intermittent shooting, two persons were killed in Khudadad colony. They were identified as Imran alias Rajoo, and Irfan Ahmad. According to a housewife, some unidentified persons attacked the house of Mansoor, and wounded his younger brother Khushnood, who was admitted to the Aga Khan Hospital. Jamila, who was caught in the crossfire, was also wounded and admitted to the JPMC. The violence was a sequel to the shooting on Thursday in which Sharif, a bodyguard of Masroor, was killed. Two suspects were gunned down in an encounter with police in Korangi. They were identified by police as Lal Bashir, 25; and Mohammad Ayub, 26. Police claimed that two suspected terrorists, riding a motorcycle, came across a patrolling party near Ali Imambargaha in the area. When the suspects saw police they abandoned their motorcycle and tried to flee into nearby streets. The policemen chased them and in a shootout that followed the suspects were killed. A Kalashnikov and a TT pistol with several rounds were seized. The motorcycle had earlier been stolen from the Korangi area. The body of an 18-year-old boy, with bullet holes, was found in Khwaja Ajmer Nagri. It was shifted to Abbasi Shaheen Hospital for autopsy. Three people, including Shahnaz, Aamar and Babu, were wounded in shooting in Mominabad and Gulzar-i-Hijri. 951009 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Four gunned down in violence ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Report KARACHI, Oct. 8: Four people were shot dead and four others wounded in the city on Sunday. The CIA Garden seized eight rockets and four shells in raids conducted in Sharifabad and Orangi Town on Saturday night. It also arrested 11 people involved in the heinous crime, but did not disclose their names. Moreover, the law enforcement agencies had laid a siege to the Lines Area, made house-to-house search and rounded up hundreds of suspects for interrogation, witnesses said. Syed Mohammad Tahir was found dead with his hands tied and bullet holes in his ear under a bridge. He was a former policeman, but the area police did not confirm. Zakir Shah, 32, was gunned down in an encounter with police in Baldia Town, police said. The Baldia Town police said they were informed by the 134, an emergency cell located in the chief ministers house, that an outlaw was hiding in Kohati Mohallah. A shoot-out followed when Zakir Shah fired upon the police. He was killed after being hit by a bullet, police said. The MQM and the Haqiqi in separate statements blamed each other for paving way for the siege-and-search operation in the Lines Area. The MQM alleged intra-factional fighting within the Haqiqi had led the law enforcers to humiliate Mohajirs in the name of operation in the area. The MQM claimed the law enforcers had arrested more than 1,000 people in the shanty settlements of Lines Area. While the Haqiqi alleged the law enforcers had arrested more than 2,000 people in the area. The Haqiqi alleged the operation was aimed at crushing the party, which is struggling for the rights of Mohajirs through peaceful means. It held extortionists, minions of security agencies and the narcotic peddlers responsible for the siege. The police denied the arrest of a single person during the siege. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- PPP man among six shot dead in violence ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 9 : Six people, including a PPP leader, were shot dead and four others wounded in city violence on Monday. Ghulam Qadir, a former general secretary of the PPP, and a his colleague, Mohammad Iqbal, were gunned down after being kidnapped in Orangi Town. According to reports, after meeting a detained friend in Karachi jail, they were going home when two armed men halted their Suzuki pick-up and took them away at gunpoint. Their two companions, however, managed to escape. Later, the bodies of Qadir and Iqbal, with bullet holes, were found near Orangi Town. Orangi police said their Suzuki had come under fire near Noorani Masjid and, as a result, the two were killed and one was injured. A motor mechanic was killed and a policeman was wounded in a sudden attack by unidentified people in Korangi. The van of a police petrol party of Zaman Town police station had developed a mechanical fault. The policemen dragged the van to a private workshop in Korangi 2 1/2. As the mechanic, Mohammad Saleem, was repairing the van, a gang of unidentified youths sprayed it with bullets. Saleem died on the spot and a constable, Asghar, was wounded. A constable, sitting in a hotel, was shot dead in Baldia Town. According to police, Jaza Hussain, posted at the Baldia Town police station, was taking tea when unidentified people fired upon him and fled. The body of a young man was found in a lane in Nazimabad. Police identified him as Shakeel Ahmad, who had been gunned down after being kidnapped. Shakeel, 30, who was wounded by snipers in Liaquatabad on Oct 4, succumbed to his injuries on Monday. Four people were wounded in shooting: constable Asghar in Korangi, Mudassar Habib in Model Colony, Jawad in New Karachi and an unidentified man in Orangi. 951011 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Four MQM men shot dead in custody ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Report KARACHI, Oct. 10: Fahim Farooqi alias Commando, an MQM activist, and a CIA official were murdered on Tuesday when unidentified men opened fire on them in Nazimabad. They were among the 16 people who fell victim to assassins in the city on Tuesday. Fahim Commando, 25, Zeeshan Haider Abedi, 30,Yousuf Rizwan, 25, and one unidentified person had been arrested by law enforcement agencies on Aug. 6 in Nazimabad. They were in judicial custody till Monday. On Tuesday they were taken to the Airport Police Station from the Karachi Central Prison for further questioning. The police claimed they were escorting Fahim and his accomplices to Nazimabad to conduct a raid on a house for the arrest of some more suspects involved with them in criminal bouts when they were ambushed. The MQM men, who were all fettered, were killed. None of the policemen was injured. The police said they were wanted in more than 25 cases, including those related with the killings of SHO Bahadur Ali, DSP Hakim Khan Tanoli and Haqiqi leader Mansoor Chacha, and were sent to jail. Manzoor Qadar, a sub-inspector of the CIA police, was shot dead near Dehli Muslim Hotel in North Nazimabad. Two electricians, were shot dead in Sarhad Itehad Colony near the Khajji Ground in New Gulbahar. The police said they were in their house on the third storey when unidentified persons barged into it and gunned them down. Both were bachelors. In a similar incident, armed men killed a man and his wife in their house in Data Nagri, New Karachi. A driver and a commuter were gunned down when unidentified men opened fire on a passenger coach near a bus-stop in Orangi Town. Some unidentified men gunned down two MQM activists in Korangi. Police said Mohammad Safdar, 22, Mohammad Imran, 23, and Mohammad Pervez, 24, were sitting in a hotel near Masjid Darussalam when some unidentified persons riding a yellow cab fired at them and fled. The MQM alleged that the police had killed them during the siege of a house where they were fast asleep. The police, however, said Safdar, Imran and Pervez were involved in a number of criminal cases. Pervez was wounded and taken to the JPMC where he died. Two other unidentified people were shot dead in Orangi Town. 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- One killed, six vehicles torched ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 11: One person was shot dead, three were wounded and six vehicles set ablaze in the city on Wednesday. Some unidentified men also opened fire on the residence of Sindh minister for excise and taxation Mir Munawar Ali Talpur and escaped. According to reports, a gang of unidentified gunmen riding a car fired shots on ministers residence and fled when the guards retaliated. The body of a young man with bullet holes was found near a graveyard in Al-Falah area. The police identified him as Mohammad Akram Bhutto, He was tortured and shot dead after being kidnapped. Three persons were wounded in various incidents of shooting. Raees, was injured in Gulbahar, Abul-Fazal in Liaquatabad and Javed in the Preedy area. The unidentified arsonists set six vehicles on fire. A KESC van was set ablaze in Buffer Zone, a bus in the Garden area, a Suzuki near F.B Area, a car in Sharifabad and two vehicles in Liaquatabad. Official sources, however, did not confirm burning of vehicles in Liaquatabad. 951006 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Dehlavi gets govts reply; decision on talks today ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 5: The governments reply to the letter of chief MQM negotiator Ajmal Dehlavi was delivered to him on Thursday evening but Mr Dehlavi said not all the irritants had been removed. Mr Dehlavi said his committee would, however, discuss the contents of the letter on Friday and a decision on whether to resume the talks would be taken after that. If the governments reply is positive, we will resume negotiations, said Mr Dehlavi. Meanwhile, chief government negotiator N.D. Khan told Dawn the reply has been sent with all sincerity because we are trying to seek a political settlement to the Karachi problem. But the issue of the release of Shazia Farooq has created confusion as Mr Dehlavi said she had not yet been released as promised by a member of the government negotiating team, whereas the chief government negotiator said the lady in question was Shania, wife of Fahim Commando. Mr Dehlavi, when contacted, said his side had never asked for the release of anyone named Shania. This is a new development and we will take it into consideration at our meeting, he emphasised. Mr Dehlavi said there were no indications about the restoration of police guards for the security of the negotiating team members. Shaikh Liaquat Hussain confirmed that his passport was personally delivered to him by Mr Zuhair Akram Nadeem. Mr Hussain during a meeting with Mr Nadeem emphasised the need to find out why Shazia Farooq was not yet released. 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- MQM says govt reply disappointing ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 6: Hopes for an early resumption of the stalled talks between MQM and the government were dashed on Friday after the MQM negotiating team termed the government reply as disappointing. The MQM had linked resumption of talks with a positive reply to its letter. As a consequence to the decision the MQM team has decided not to resume talks for the time being, said the chief MQM negotiator, Ajmal Dehlavi. In a brief statement issued after the meeting it said that a written response to Mr Khans reply would be sent to him in a couple of days. Since the MQM would itself take a couple of days to send a written formulation after which the government side would also require a few more days to spell out its position, the talks are not expected to be resumed before next week, sources close to the MQM negotiating said. Mr Dehlavi was cautious in replying to questions about the details of the meeting and said we have deliberately kept the statement brief because we dont want to further escalate the controversy. 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Altaf sends documents to ICJ ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Correspondent LONDON, Oct 6: In a letter addressed to the President of the International Court of Justice at The Hague, the MQM has forwarded to him legal documents about the arrest and the subsequent death of an MQM worker Ferozeuddin with two other party workers, Pervaiz Akhtar and Mohammed Ali, who, it is alleged, were killed by the rangers and the police, while the killings were described officially to have occurred in encounters with the police. The letter from the MQM leader, Mr Altaf Hussain, says that the purpose of sending you the present set of documents is to reveal the starting sequence of events which establish the determined policy of the Bhutto government to simply physically eliminate the MQM workers in the custody of the paramilitary rangers or the police through cold blooded murders. The documents attached with the letter show that Ferozeuddin was arrested on Sept 20, according to the police, after an exchange of gunfire with some weapons and wireless sets. On the next day, he was produced before a magistrate who, despite a request for two weeks remand, only allowed the police one week remand of the detainee. Later, he was produced before the Special Terrorist Judge by the police which sought a weeks further remand. But the judge having seen marks of violence on his body ordered his transfer to judicial custody. But this order was ignored and the rangers took him to an unknown place where he was done to death along with two other detained MQM workers, the letter alleges. The MQM leader has said that criminal cases should be registered, after investigation, against those who are responsible for the alleged killings. He has also accused the minister of interior, Naseerullah Babar, under whose instructions the rangers and the police are carrying out relentless killings of Mohajirs. They do not have the slightest regard for law or legality, he writes. He has invoked the additional protocol of the Geneva Convention, which applies to persons captured in internal conflict, and has accused the interior minister, the Sindh chief minister and others of violating the international law. Copies of the letter have also been sent to the President and the army chief of Pakistan, to the British prime minister and the Us president, the International Red Cross, the Secretary-General of the United Nations, the president of the European Parliament, officials of the US State Department and the chief justices of the Supreme Court and Sindh high court in Pakistan. 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Altaf seeks peoples help ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Correspondent LONDON, Oct 7: The political leadership in Pakistan and the people of the country have been asked by the MQM leader, Mr Altaf Hussain, to counter the nefarious intentions and actions of the Bhutto government which, he alleged, was trying to create a catastrophic civil war in the country. Mr Hussain claimed that arms were being brought for distribution among criminal elements and the Haqiqi group under the patronage of the minister of interior and with the collusion of the chief minister Sherpao of NWFP. Mr Hussain said this was being done to destroy the MQM which has demolished the political credentials of the Pakistan Peoples Party in Sindh. He said the former chief minister of NWFP, Mr Sabir Shah, has also accused the government of planning to weaken and destroy the political opposition by supply arms to certain elements in Karachi and the rest of Sindh. In another statement, the MQM leader has expressed his concern over the use of Frontier Constabulary and the Federal militia in and around the Sui area to expel Baloch followers of opposition leader, Sardar Akbar Bugti. He said this action would create another class of Mohajirs in Balochistan. He talked to Sardar Bugti over the telephone and backed his call for international assistance. Mr Hussain criticised the President for his apathy in not stopping the government from its unlawful actions. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- MQM sends reply to govt ------------------------------------------------------------------- KARACHI, Oct 9: The negotiating team of the MQM on Monday sent the reply to the letter of Mr N.D. Khan, leader of the governments negotiating team. Ajmal Dehlavi, leader of the MQM negotiating team said here on Monday night that they had sent their reply to the letter of Mr Khan by fax on his Karachi and Islamabad addresses. Earlier, he said the MQM negotiating team discussed the contents of the letter of Mr Khan and prepared their reply in the light of the same. However, he did not disclose the contents of his reply. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Dehlavi criticises attack on Secretariat ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 9: Chief MQM negotiator Ajmal Dehlavi on Monday condemned the targeted rocket attack on the New Sindh Secretariat. It seems to be the job of expert marksmen who hit the predetermined targets and as far as the MQM is concerned, we condemn such acts he said. He said if it would have been the job of amateurs, the surrounding dwellings of Mohajirs would have been badly damaged. So far, he said, contrary to previous occasions Sindh Chief Minister Abdullah Shah and interior Minister Naseerullah Babar had not implicated the MQM. Mr Dehlavi said the incident was a targeted exercise as the rockets dropped on target. In the context of MQM-government talks, Mr Dehlavi said he had faxed the written reply to ND Khan to his Islamabad office. However, since the law minister had arrived in the city another copy was faxed to Zuhair Akram Nadeem for passing it on to him, said Mr Dehlavi. He declined to divulge contents of his letter, saying although the government side had breached the understanding by releasing part of its communication to the Press. 951011 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Altaf accuses police of murder in custody ------------------------------------------------------------------- Correspondent Report LONDON, Oct. 10: The MQM leadership has endorsed the call given by the partys co-ordination committee for a strike on Thursday as a protest against the killing on Tuesday of seven MQM workers, four of whom are alleged to have been killed while still in police custody. The MQM leader has said he has been outraged at the direct executions by the police of four of his party workers while in judicial custody. He said seven MQM workers were gunned down by the police and rangers in two different alleged encounters. Four of them  Faheem Farooqi, Zeeshan Haider Abidi, Yousuf Rizwan and Altaf Qureshi  had been under arrest since Aug. 6. Until yesterday they were held in judicial custody in Karachi Central Jail. On Tuesday morning, he alleged, they were taken under police supervision to Nazimabad police station where they were killed. Hussain claimed that medical reports showed they were shot at point blank range. But officials say that when they were escorted to the police station for identification, they came under sniper fire from unknown sources. The MQM leader has emphasised that according to the official version the four persons were handcuffed and were under heavy police escorts. It was surprising that not one person from the police escort was injured by shots from the unknown gunmen. He described the police version as a sheer concoction of lies and said: Such inhuman and medieval actions of state terrorism were unmatched in the history of Pakistan and depicted the worst tyranny of the Government. At least 10 MQM workers in judicial custody have been eliminated within the last few weeks, he added. Hussain called upon the president and the army chief to use their influence and legal and moral authority so that legal proceedings could be initiated against those responsible for the latest tragedy. He also held the minister of interior, who is conducting the operation in Karachi, responsible for the killings. He claimed that the same police officer was in charge of escorting the four MQM workers killed on Tuesday who led another escort on Aug. 2 when four other party workers were killed, near the airport, allegedly by snipers fired. He said no legal system that allowed such barbarity could be respected. He warned that the circumstances were now beyond the stage where such acts of state terrorism could be tolerated by the people any longer. 951011 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Babar blames MQM for rocket attack ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Report KARACHI, Oct. 10: Interior Minister Naseerullah Babar has blamed the Mohajir Qaumi Movement for the rocket-propelled grenade attack on the new Sindh secretariat building on Monday, but could not explain the killing of under-custody alleged terrorists on Tuesday. Speaking at a news conference, he did not oppose a judicial inquiry into the killings of under-custody terrorists who belonged to the MQM. With regard to the attack on the secretariat, the minister conceded that it was not unexpected, and said: I was told by the IG police on Sunday that the MQM will change its tactics. But the minister had no convincing reply when questioned about the laxity of security measures around the secretariat when stepped-up attacks were feared. The authorities, he said, had the reports that the  Altaf Group might resort to blasts or some other similar acts. Gen Babar said the terrorists looked  quite trained and it was believed they had fired from three different directions from an under-construction house just behind the secretariat building. He asserted that no rocket had been fired from the car in which the terrorists had come. However, one rocket might have been fired from a corner of the street at the back of the secretariat, he added. Ballistic experts of the army were also examining the points from where the rockets might have been fired, he said. He noted that the penetration of rockets was not that much as was expected from a PRG-7 rocket and that was why the damage was not so serious. The interior minister said he could not say whether the chief ministers secretariat or the office of Health Minister Shamim Ahmed were the targets. But one thing was clear that their intentions were not good because they also hit the record room where files concerning the Karachi development package were kept and which were destroyed. To a question, he said he was not aware of the presence of any American FBI people at the secretariat. He said he had come to know about their presence there only through newspapers on Tuesday. The minister did not rule out the possibility of some other professionally trained groups being involved in the attack. He nevertheless tended to put the blame on the Naim Sheri group of the MQM because, according to him, this group had been involved in such acts in the past as well. When informed that Altaf Hussain had condemned the rocket attack, the minister asked  with what kind of words for condemnation he has come out. 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Altaf asks supporters to remain united ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Correspondent LONDON, Oct 11: The MQM leader Altaf Hussain has said that no government has a right to kill people wanted by it without proper trial. Commenting on the death of Fahim Commando and others he said the killing of MQM workers by the government in fake police encounters was not only a blatant violation of the Constitution and the law but was an insult to democracy and human values. The MQM chief said the way the Government was killing Mohajir youth in false encounters and if in response people in future take up arms in their defence they will be perfectly justified to do so, as to protect ones life and property is a fundamental, constitutional and Islamic right which no one can usurp. Backing the call given by the MQM coordination committee to observe a day of protest on Thursday against the killings on Tuesday of several MQM workers, some of whom were under judicial custody and had been brought from prison to a police station, Mr Altaf Hussain reminded the President and the Prime Minister that those killed were not animals but human beings. He pledged to make the people responsible for these killings accountable and said they or their patrons will never be forgiven. Mr Hussain asked his supporters to remain united and disciplined as victory will be of those who are oppressed. He appealed to the political leadership in the country and other right thinking people to come forward to end the present bloodshed. Indifference, he warned, may be costly and the Mohajirs may come to a conclusion which they could never have imagined. He claimed that the fourth person to be killed in Nazimabad on Tuesday, with three others who were brought from jail, was Khurshid Anwar. Mr Hussain rejected the interior ministers statement of Tuesday in which he told pressmen that three MQM workers, Fahim Faruqi, Zeeshan Abidi, and Yousuf Rehman were killed by sniper fire when they were brought to Nazimabad from jail for identification of some other suspects. The minister had stated that another person was injured when police fired back at the snipers, one of whom died. The name of the injured was given as Khurshid Anwar and the Minister said he was now in custody and two of his sisters had also been arrested. Mr Hussain said Khurshid Anwar, after being tortured, following his arrest at 3 am, was also killed with the three other MQM workers. 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- MQM strike today ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 11: The MQM coordination committee on Wednesday urged the people of all walks of life to lend their support for a peaceful day of protest on Thursday to mourn killing of its seven activists allegedly by the law enforcement agencies. Meanwhile tension was mounting as some political elements opposed to the MQM had declared to defy the strike call. 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- SDM to probe into killing of three MQM activists ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 11: The deputy commissioner, district central, has appointed SDM, Nazimabad, to conduct an inquiry into the gory incident in which the handcuffed and fettered MQM workers  Fahim Commando, Yousuf Rizwan, Zeeshan Haider and one unidentified man  were killed in Nazimabad in Tuesday while they were in police custody. Meanwhile, an MQM spokesman on Wednesday identified the so called unidentified man as Khursheed Anwar killed in police custody. He also claimed that the police had arrested Khursheeds two sisters  Shaista and Shagufta  on Tuesday. None of the policemen, who had escorted them to Nazimabad to identify some other suspects at a hideout there, was injured. Eyewitnesses said they were killed in front of a deserted house in a street through which a car can hardly pass. The assassins, after killing them, had managed to escape from the place. The bodies of two of them were found in the courtyard of the house, an Edhi volunteer, who had gone their to transport bodies to hospital, said. Hospital sources said autopsy performed on the victims showed that they were shot dead from behind at point-blank range. The sources said that Fahim and two other accomplices were taken to Islamabad for further interrogation. They were brought back to Karachi and sent to jail. The airport police, after a court permission, had taken them into custody for interrogation on Tuesday morning to Nazimabad. The police claimed they had come under fire by unidentified men when they arrived in front of the house where a raid was about to be conducted. Fahim and others died on the spot, and the policemen had to take refuge in the APC. There was confusion about the death of Khursheed Anwar, who was reportedly arrested by the police at 3 am on Wednesday. Federal Interior Minister Naseerullah Babar had himself at a Press conference on Tuesday confirmed the arrest of Khursheed Anwar and said he was in police custody. Nusrat Nadim, the political secretary of MQM chief Altaf Hussain, claimed that the fourth unidentified person killed on Tuesday in Nazimabad was Khursheed Anwar. 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 MQM men arrested ------------------------------------------------------------------- KARACHI, Oct 11: The CIA Police, here, arrested four Altaf group terrorists and seized four pistols and bullets from their possession. According to police sources CIA had posted various police parties in different parts of the city to arrest the terrorists, who could try to harass the people in connection with the Altaf groups strike call on Thursday. A CIA Saddar police party, which was posted at Pak Colony area, traced suspect terrorists, who were firing in the air to terrorise the people while riding a car. On seeing the police, they fired at them. Police returned the fire resulting in arrest of Muhammad Amin alias TT, Muhammad Ayoub, Shamsuddin and Nasir Ganja. 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- PPP voters leaving party, claims PML leader ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Correspondent NAWABSHAH, Oct 6: The co-ordinating secretary of PML, Sindh, Mumtaz Ali Rind, claimed here on Friday that a large number of voters from the constituency of Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto had joined his party. Talking to this correspondent, he said people now supported Mian Mohammad Nawaz Sharif and had also opened offices of the PML in the native town of Ms Bhutto which, he added, was an ample proof that they had rejected her. Mr Rind said the struggle by the PML chief for the rights of poor people throughout the country had created pro-PML sentiments among them. The government had failed in solving the problems. Mr Rid accused the PPP leadership of awarding all the jobs to jiyalas while the well-educated, talented and intelligent but poor youths were denied employment. On the other hand, he alleged, the development funds were being misappropriated in the province by the PPPs favourite contractors in collusion with the concerned authorities. 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Govt to discuss issue of members production with opposition ------------------------------------------------------------------- ISLAMABAD, Oct 6: Federal law minister Mr N. D. Khan said on Friday that the government has sought the help of the makers of the rule 90 to know their point of views on it to make it applicable in the present circumstances. The rule 90, in the National Assembly and rule 72, in the Senate has been the core issue resulting in many a heated debates between the government and the opposition in both the houses. Talking at APP, Forum the minister said that it was decided to convene a meeting before the next session to thoroughly examine the issue so as to decide that how the objective laid down in the rule regarding the production of detained members in the Parliament could be achieved. The minister was of the view that the only way out to solve the issue would be to review the rule 90 to ensure its implementation and to make it possible, the consensus among the government and opposition is a must. As both the chair and the government have not been authorised by the rule to summon the detained members who are either in the custody of the judiciary or in the administrative control of the provincial governments. He said MQM was a faction, and it could easily be merged by a like- minded. He said the 1993 elections have given a clear messagea two- party system. He categorically said that no mid-term elections were possible and castigated the PML call for staging of demonstrations on Oct 19. It will muster no support as its past aimless drill which was in the name of tehreek-i-nijat. The one-point agenda with Mian Nawaz Sharif seems to be to seek mid-term elections, shorten the tenure of the government. Instead, its time for the PML to prepare a policy how to win the forthcoming general polls of 1988, rather than waste time in flimsy things. He denied that any human rights violations were being committed in Karachi, as alleged by Mr Altaf Hussain, in his letter to the UN Secretary-General. About Govt-Altaf group talks, he said, the same were being conducted on quid-pro-quo basis and the former believed that the latter had mandate from Karachi. He told a questioner that he would soon furnish a reply to Dehlavis letter soon. He regretted that the MQM had unilaterally suspended dialogue for which it was itself responsible. He hoped wisdom would prevail and the talks would resume. 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- PML unity talks today amid hopes & scepticism ------------------------------------------------------------------- Ashraf Mumtaz LAHORE, Oct 7: The first meeting of the committees set up by the PML(N) and the PML(J) to explore possibility of reunification of the two factions is due to be held here on Sunday with conflicting assessments from the two sides about the outcome. PML(J) sources are not very optimistic about a breakthrough. The two sides are poles apart and thus no high hopes should be pinned on the meeting, authoritative PML(J) sources said on Saturday. The sources alleged that Mian Nawaz Sharif wanted to break the PDF and oust Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto which the PML(J) did not favour. Mr Chattha had once proposed that the presidents of all factions should step down and let the party elect a new party chief. The formula was not acceptable to Mian Nawaz Sharif. Other party leaders have been saying that the chairmanship of Mr Sharif is not negotiable as the credit for making the PML a popular party went exclusively to him. The PML(J) could be offered other offices in the party if they were interested in the partys unity, provincial PML(N) president Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi had said a few days ago. But just a day before the talks, PML(N) sources report that Mr Sharif could be ready to step down provided PML(J) ministers in the cabinet resigned. The condition has created doubts in the minds of the PML(J) leaders who say that they would not trust Mr Sharif even if he expressed his willingness to step down as head of his faction. Another consideration for the PML(J) would be whether the united party could work with leaders like Wali Khan, Altaf Hussain and Mahmud Achakzai. He implied that while these leaders were allies of Mr Sharif, the PML(J) would not like to join hands with them. Another leader said the possibility of unity between the two factions was remote as Mr Sharif believed in the politics of confrontation which was not the case with the PML(J). The chances of the two sides coming close were also dimmed by a sudden revolt in the PML(J) parliamentary party in the NWFP. Of the four PML(J) MPAs, three have opposed the unity efforts and declared that they would not be party to such moves. The fourth, Saleem Saifullah, is a member of the PML(J) committee for the talks. 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Noorani supports black day call ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Report LAHORE, Oct 7: Jamiat Ulema-i-Pakistan president Maulana Shah Ahmed Noorani on Saturday added his voice to the opposition demand for mid- term elections, saying that the Benazir government had failed to honour the commitments it had made in its 1993 election manifesto. He also backed the oppositions plan to observe Oct 19 as a black day. JUP leaders K.M. Azhar and Muhammad Khan Leghari were also present. the JUP president said it was a fact that until a few months back he was in favour of allowing the present assemblies to complete their term. However, he said, he had changed his opinion and now favoured the demand for early polls because of the disappointing performance of the government. Maulana Noorani said he was ready to hold unity talks with the rival JUP faction. He said talks between the two sides would be possible when the other side also wished to re-unite. Maulana Noorani did not know whether the Niazi group had constituted any committee to hold unity talks. 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Military should not interfere in internal affairs, seminar told ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 7: Military should not intervene in the internal affairs on any pretext and it should be restructured through cost-effective measures to meet the future hi-tech threat. Concern was also expressed over continuing violence in Karachi which was causing internal instability and thus affecting the overall defence capability. Mr Shahi said India and Pakistan were believed to have reached a condition of non-weaponised deterrence in which either of them could move quickly to produce a nuclear weapon if wished. Hence, he said, South Asia would never again see a conventional war, since any such war could quickly turn nuclear. Mr Shahi was of the view that while Pakistans nuclear programme remained frozen since January 1989, India continued to produce weapons-grade plutonium without interruption. Mr Shahi also dealt with the Brown amendment and Pakistans relations with the US and the regional countries. Dr.Shireen Mazari said that there is an urgent need for countries like Pakistan to frame their security policies after acknowledging the continuing legitimacy of the instrumentality of war and the resurgence of the rationality of military power as a viable policy option. She questioned the wisdom of following the US blindly in the international peacekeeping role. She said there was no rationale in Pakistans peacekeeping role in Haiti and Somalia. Former navy chief vice Admiral H.M.S. Choudri while speaking on the importance of sea power emphasised the need for cost- effective defence. His views were also shared by Air Marshal Ayaz Ahmed Khan. Giving his views on threat perception, General K.M. Arif, spelt out his views in the global, regional and south Asian context. He, held the view that internal stability was a must to ensure effective defence of the country. He was of the view that Pakistan did not have a viable Afghan policy while Iran was vital to Pakistans security. In the context of the role of the armed forces, he said It gives no power to the military to intervene in the internal affairs on any pretext. Altaf Gauhar was of the view that the greatest security problem of Pakistan was in Karachi. Orders to shoot at sight, blindfolding the people, rounding womenfolk in the middle of the night and after some time accusing them of running a brothel  were detrimental to Pakistans interest. I dont know whether Altaf Hussain is a traitor or not but we are certainly ashamed of the way we are treating our citizens in Karachi, said Mr Gauhar while commenting on the peace-keeping role of law enforcement agencies. Gen. Kamal Mateenuddin was of the view that conventional deterrent must be geared up and all elements of national power must be utilised to ensure credible defence. He was against nuclear option. 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- New alliance to counter strikes ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 7: The founder of Sindh Yekjehti Alliance, Malik Ghulam Sarwar Awan, announced on Saturday that the newly-formed alliance of Punjabis, Pakhtuns, Sindhis, Balochs and Urdu-speaking people would in future attempt to stop the MQM from paralysing the city through their strikes. Addressing the alliance of seven political parties groups at a local hotel, Mr Awan announced that the alliance of like-minded persons would try to ensure that businesses stayed open and transporters plied their vehicles even during strike call days. If they burn one vehicle of Punjabis and Pakhtuns, we will burn 100 vehicles of MQM supporters, he told a cheering crowd, mostly comprising transporters. The alliance, which includes PPI, National Democratic Front, Muslim Welfare Movement, Pakistan Mazloom Ittehad Party, Pakistan Transport Federation, Sindhi Action Committee and Pakistan Minority Ittehad, was also addressed by their representatives. The PPI supreme council members took oath, supporting the peaceful goals outlined by the alliance. Abdur Rauf Khan Sasoli of NDF invited MQM chief Altaf Hussein to join the alliance in struggling for the rights of the oppressed people, adding that the massacre of poor and unarmed civilians will not solve the problem. Resolutions passed on the occasion included a demand to curb the growing thefts and dacoities in Lyari, an appeal to banks to waive the instalments taken by transporters this year and a call to the government to permit licensed weapons to ordinary citizens for self- defence. 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- PM "mortgaging sovereignty" of state, says Nawaz ------------------------------------------------------------------- Bureau Report LAHORE, Oct 7: Opposition leader Mian Nawaz Sharif alleged on Saturday that Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto was mortgaging the sovereignty of the country so that she could become Secretary-General of the United Nations. For this purpose, he claimed, she could extend clandestine support to India to become a permanent member of the UN Security Council for which it was aspiring for quite some time. He said Ms Bhutto wanted to become head of the world body because she knew that this was the only way to save herself from public wrath and the billions and trillions, he alleged, she had amassed with the help of her husband. He held the prime minister responsible for all problems facing the country and said a single solution of all problems lies in getting rid of the prime minister and her husband Asif Zardari. Rejecting the allegation that he went to meet MQM chief Altaf Husain in London to urge him to give a strike call in Pakistan, Mr Sharif said he did not need anyones help for a shutdown of business. My personal appeal to the people is sufficient to ensure a strike in the country. The opposition leader said the talks between the government and the MQM had failed to produce any results. He claimed that the alienation of Karachi was complete because of the policies of the present government. 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Murtaza lashes out at Benazir ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter QUETTA, Oct 7: Mir Murtaza Bhutto, chairman of the PPP (Shaheed Bhutto), said here on Saturday that Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto had failed to deliver the goods despite being in power twice, adding Ms Bhuttos claim of leading Shaheed Z.A. Bhuttos PPP was totally wrong and misleading. Her PPP is party of Asif Zardari, dacoits and waderas, he told a well-attended public meeting. He claimed that Benazir Bhutto is no more the chairperson of the PPP as all the decisions of the party were taken by Asif Zardari. He accused Ms Benazir Bhutto of compromising with those who were responsible for the murder of the party founding chairman. He also flayed the opposition leader Nawaz Sharif and late Gen Zia-ul- Haq and regretted that Benazirs days in power were also not better. He said, Gen Zia was enemy of Islam and Pakistan for he divided the people on religious, ethnic and linguistic basis. 951009 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Awan made Punjabs senior minister ------------------------------------------------------------------- Bureau Report LAHORE, Oct. 8: Minister for Local Government Malik Mushtaq Awan was appointed senior minister of Punjab on Sunday. The decision was taken unanimously at a meeting of the PDF parliamentary party held at the State Guest House. The office of the senior minister had fallen vacant as a result of the death of Makhdoom Altaf Ahmed on Sept. 2. With his appointment as senior minister, Awan will now head the departments of Home and SGAD. He will continue to be provincial president of the PPP. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rockets tear into Sindh secretariat : no casualties ------------------------------------------------------------------- Mohammed Riaz KARACHI, Oct 9: In a 10-minute operation, beginning at 12:13 pm, on Monday, terrorists fired six Russian-made rockets at the New Sindh Secretariat building, which hit the New Secretariat block, the hub of the administration, and rocked the residential area and commercial centres. Soon after the incident, the police cordoned off the area and rounded up many shopkeepers for interrogation. The terrorists had fired the rockets from three different directions at the Secretariat building, causing extensive damage to the fifth, sixth and seventh floors. The offices of two ministers, secretaries and section officers were completely damaged, but there were no casualties. Flying pieces of window-panes, however, wounded four people. A fire broke out after an explosion in the office of a section officer on the fifth floor, destroying records piled up in the corridor. As the fire spread, records, stored on steel racks, were also burnt. Offices of the Health Minister Shamim Ahmad, who defected from the MQM, also on the seventh floor, were the prime target as the blast ripped off the secretarial section, causing extensive damage. Commenting on the attacks on selected offices, a high-ranking Sindh official said: It shows that the terrorists were well- informed about the location of offices they wanted to attack. Sindh minister Haji Zafar Ahmad Leghari held the MQM and Indian agents responsible for the attack. About the FBI agents, he said: They have come of their own accord. We didnt invite them. However, their help is sought in the course of this complicated situation. When the FBI agents were asked who had asked them to visit the rocket- hit offices, they remained silent. A peon said policemen on pickets atop the boundary wall were the first to flee after the blast. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Shah fears more attacks, orders tighter security ------------------------------------------------------------------- Habib Khan Ghori KARACHI, Oct 9: Sindh Chief Minister Syed Abdullah Shah said on Monday he feared more rocket attacks and directed the police to beef up security. He said: This is open terrorism and should be condemned by all. The chief minister found a group of newsmen waiting for him after he completed his tour of the attack at the offices hit by rockets and expressed satisfaction that there had been no casualties. In reply to a question, he said: It is certainly a security lapse. The police should have been more alert. We will not let the attackers go scott free. We will fight terrorists till they are eliminated. He appealed to people, particularly those who might have seen the terrorists to cooperate with the authorities in identifying them. He said four out of 28 police personnel who were on duty at the secretariat had been taken into custody for failing in their duty. Mr Shah warned that there was no place for cowards to remain in the police and the government would not brook any neglect of duty by those supposed to protect the peoples lives. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Ministers, others condemn rocket attack ------------------------------------------------------------------- KARACHI, Oct 9: Leaders of political parties and ministers have condemned the rocket attack on Sindh Secretariat building on Monday, and termed it a cowardly act by terrorists. Provincial Health Minister Shamim Ahmed said, in fact, he was the target of rocket attack as two of the rockets landed at his office causing serious damage. The health minister who escaped the attack as he was holding a meeting at his residence, said the situation was serious in view of the threats of civil war by Altaf Hussain. He said, it is Altaf Hussain who speaks about civil war but involves the government and holds it responsible for the war. The health Minister said many-a-times in the past he asked the IGP and DIG for enhanced security. He said there were no security arrangements even at his house. If terrorists can target me at the Sindh Secretariat, they can repeat the same at my residence, as well, he said. He said that the government, had mobilised all its resources for an early arrest of terrorists involved in rocket attack. They were talking to people in the Secretariat building during their visit after the rocket attack. Murad Ali Shah said Secretariat building was a national property and anybody attacking such buildings should be censured. He said it was not an attack on government building, but an attack on people who come there for the redressal of their grievances. He said people belonging to every community work and visit in these buildings daily. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Murtaza demands mid-term poll ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Correspondent QUETTA, Oct 9: Mir Murtaza Bhutto chairman of the PPP (SB) has said that to avoid extra-constitutional steps, holding of mid-term elections was a desirable option to save democracy. Although holding of elections since 1988 had no positive results yet the countrys situation demand early polls, said Mr Bhutto. We support the mid-term polls to block the way for army intervention which would pave the way for dictatorship as it is a better solution rather to push the country towards civil war, Murtaza observed. PPP leader announced his party would participate in the mid-term polls if announced. Referring to the Karachi problem, he claimed that terrorists activities were going on due to intra feud between two factions of MQM. However, other factors could not be ruled out, particularly the involvement of drug mafia, land mafia and other criminal groups besides the presence of three million illegal immigrants there. PPP leader further said that local bodies elections should be held in Karachi and other parts of the country so that people should resolve their problems through their elected representatives. He demanded that three million aliens should be expelled from Karachi to help normalise the situation. Replying to a question, the leader of PPP (SB) announced that he was not ready to cooperate with those political parties which remained in power and failed to deliver goods to common men. About the formation of grand alliance against present government, he said that his party would not join such alliance as we have our own party programme in this connection.
 
951011
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
PML divided on issue of observing black day
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Mohammad Malick
ISLAMABAD, Oct. 10: The top leadership of Pakistan Muslim League has 
become sharply divided over the strategy of observing a Black Day on 
Oct. 19 without following it up with an organised public agitation 
against the government.
While party leaders are understandably refuting the presence of any 
such differences, there is a clear split between those in favour of 
any sort of political agitation and those opting for a delayed but 
seriously planned offensive against the government instead of 
whittling away of energies in such useless activities, as described 
by one PML critic of the call.
The situation has come to such a head that two of its top leaders, Gen 
Majid Malik and Chaudhry Nisar are no longer on talking terms with one 
another and Gen Malik has even refused to attend any party meeting in 
Chaudhry Nisars presence.
According to the supporters of the call, including Gohar Ayub Khan, 
Ahsan Iqbal, Chaudhry Nisar and Mushahid Hussain, the opposition must 
continue taking every possible pot-shot at the government instead of 
waiting for one big street movement to come about. These hawks within 
the party believe, as stated by Ahsan Iqbal, MNA: We must keep doing 
something to keep the public aware of the governments wrongdoings and 
also to boost the morale of our own party members.
 
951011
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Nawaz's bank accounts frozen
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Staff Report
ISLAMABAD, Oct. 10: The bank account of Mian Nawaz Sharif and other 
directors of Ittefaq group had been frozen for their failure to pay Rs 
400 million outstanding against them as income and wealth tax. An 
official spokesman said in a statement that Nawaz Sharif had not 
discharged his national obligation of paying the income and wealth 
tax.
According to Press reports Nawaz Sharif on assuming the office of 
prime minister in 1990 had allegedly ordered authorities that the 
amount outstanding against him and other directors as income and 
various other taxes be written off. They, thereafter, submitted 
applications to the authorities for this purpose. Their outstanding 
amounts were written off the same day.
Later, Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto directed the authorities to 
investigate the matter. The Income Tax Department also filed an appeal 
against writing off the outstanding amount. 
The appeal was accepted and the directors were ordered to pay Rs 400 
million. Nawaz Sharif and the other directors did not comply with the 
order. Therefore, their bank accounts have been frozen. The 
outstanding amount will be realised from these accounts and by 
auctioning their immovable property.
It is also of interest that one case of bad debt of Rs six billion is 
also pending against Nawaz Sharif.
 
951012
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Pervaiz demands date for mid-term polls
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Bureau Report
LAHORE, Oct 11: Opposition leader in the Punjab Assembly Chaudhry 
Pervaiz Elahi demanded on Wednesday that the government should set a 
date for mid-term elections and hold talks with the opposition on a 
nine-point package offered by Mian Nawaz Sharif in October last year.
The nine-point package of Mr Sharif, it may be pointed out, requires 
the president and the prime minister to resign before the talks.
He said it was a great injustice to allege that the opposition was 
engaged in confrontation against the government. In fact, he alleged, 
the government did not want to do anything for the welfare of the 
people.
Mr Pervaiz Elahi, alleged that the government had stepped up 
victimisation of the opposition legislators. He alleged that the 
government was undermining the sovereignty of parliament and 
intelligence agencies were being given a free hand.
Replying to a question he said Mr Sharif would not resign as head of 
his faction for the sake of PML(N) and the PML(J) merger.

=================================================================== 

BUSINESS & ECONOMICS

=================================================================== 951009 ------------------------------------------------------------------- State Bank wants tax exemptions withdrawn ------------------------------------------------------------------- Sabihuddin Ghausi KARACHI, Oct. 8: Calling the rising level of prices in 1994-95 a disturbing aspect of economic developments, the State Bank of Pakistan, in its annual report released on Sunday, has suggested the introduction of structural reforms in the budget to generate more real resources through taxation of consumption and income. The base of income tax needs to be expanded through inclusion of all incomes, including agricultural income, and elimination of concessions and exemptions that have become loopholes for tax evasion, is the key suggestion offered in the SBP Annual Report for 1994-95. While proposing the broadening of the income tax base and introduction of a broad based, low rate consumption tax, the SBP report, at the same time, has urged the government to continue and intensify the expenditure restraint policy and has emphasised the need for an improvement in the efficiency of public sector corporations. The target of reducing the rate of inflation to a single digit level is difficult but attainable, asserts the report while referring to the 1995-96 budget targets which envisages reduction of inflation rate to 9.5 % as against 12.9 % witnessed during 1994-95. However, the report maintains that containing inflation rate within a single digit level is possible provided higher economic growth is reinforced by a reduction in monetary expansion which, in turn, depends on the governments ability to contain budget deficit to 5 % of GDP and governments borrowing from the banking system within the Credit Plan target. The SBP report calls for a well-planned programme for documentation of the economy which, it stresses, is critically needed to restructure the income and consumption taxes on modern lines. This, in combination with rationalisation of the tariff structure and reduction in statutory tax rates, would also help reduce the size of the underground economy. It also suggests the provincial governments and local bodies also need to mount their own tax efforts to meet a part of their expenditures. The public sector corporations also need to improve their efficiency, and, in addition to servicing their debt, must give a reasonable rate of return on public sector investment. It stresses the improvement in tax administration and tax compliance. Another major recommendation of the State Bank of Pakistan report is the speedy privatisation of nationalised commercial banks and the development financial institutions to effectively tackle the problems of mounting default of loans and rising financial intermediation. Terming the excessive loan defaults in NCBs a matter of great concern, the report says that it has contributed to the high lending rates and the lowering of rates of return on deposits. The report attributes the high inflationary gap as measured by the difference between the rates of monetary expansion and GDP growth as the main cause of inflation in Pakistan which has extended over several years including 1994-95. In addition, a rise in world prices of Pakistans key imports, upward adjustment in administered prices and reliance on indirect taxes for the mobilisation of resources contributed to the increase in prices. In 1994-95 the rate of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), increased to 12.9% from 11.2% in 1993-94. Partly, the supply side shortfalls, mainly because of adverse weather conditions, heavy rains and floods affecting cotton production and damaging the minor crops contributed to the increases in prices. But the SBP report mainly blames the major slippages on the demand management side as reflected in monetary expansion of 16.6% in 1994- 95 compared with target of 11.8% as the main contributing factor to the inflation. According to the report, all of the price indices in 1994-95 recorded higher rates of increase as compared to 1993-94. The CPI recorded an annual average increase of 12.9%, followed by GDP deflator, 14.8%, the Sensitive Price Indicator by 15.5%, and the wholesale Price Index by 16.3%. A review of the indices showed that bulk of the increase in prices during 1994-95 reflected the sharp rise in prices of food items which, in fact, contributed 60% of the overall increase in WPI and about two-thirds of overall increase in CPI. The report says that several factors contributed to the intensification of inflationary pressures in 1994-95. At the macro level, the gap between the rates of growth of money supply and of output (inflationary gap) was about 12 percentage points in 1994-95 compared to the target of 5 percentage points. In 1994-95 the production growth was 4.7% as against the target of 6.9% while money supply soared by 16.6% as against the projected rise of 11.8% and in process expanded the inflationary gap by 12 percentage points. The main cause of excessive money supply was public sector borrowings, with government borrowing for budgetary support exceeding the limits set in the Credit Plan in most of the year. In addition, use of a part of the privatisation proceeds and short term foreign borrowings towards the end of the year to finance budget deficit exerted expansionary impact on money supply. Moreover, increased borrowings by public sector corporations and enterprises, large disbursement of credit by the Agricultural Development Bank of Pakistan (ADBP) under its government sponsored credit schemes and debiting of accrued mark up to the borrowers accounts by banks at the end of the year was reflected in an increase in bank credit to the private sector, the SBP report blames. Among other factors, reported to have led to increase in cost of living, was the scarcity of perishable food items. Similarly the recent budgetary measures to raise resources in the public sector were generally of high inflation intensity. Increase in prices of petroleum, gas and electricity had both a direct effect on consumer prices and indirect one. Indirect taxes were also immediately translated into higher output prices. On the government side, a part of even current expenditure was financed by borrowings. A sharp increase on world prices of several of the essential imported items also contributed in inflation. Additionally the depreciation of dollar value in respect of other currencies did lead to an increase in the rupee cost of imports. Hardening of the inflationary expectations and hoarding of goods to make windfall profits were also contributory to the inflation. In the backdrop of the excess demand conditions that have prevailed for the last several years and the entrenched inflationary expectations, the SBP considers it imperative for the government to pursue a tight fiscal and monetary policy in the foreseeable future. Monetary restraint, in combination with expected high output growth in 1995-96 and beyond, could begin to make a dent on inflationary expectations and on inflation is the prescription being offered by the SBP with a clear signal that micro level or sectoral measures to combat inflation will succeed only in the context of improved macroeconomic conditions. For 1995-96 the SBP has proposed to contain the public sector corporations borrowings, particularly the ADBP lending operations within the Credit Plan limits. It has also suggested similar restrictions of complying with planned credit limits for the private sector. Other area of major concern for the SBP is the substantial accumulation of domestic and foreign debts leading to a sharp increase in the debt servicing. Estimating the total national debt at the end of June 1995 at Rs 1,554.6 billion, constituting 83.3% of 1994-95 GDP, which includes Rs 796.8 billion domestic debt resulting in debt servicing of Rs 101.9 billion, the SBP advises that it is, therefore, vital that Pakistan determines the level of sustainable budget deficit consistent with its revenue generation potential so as to avoid getting into the vicious circle of rising debt services and higher budget deficit. Notwithstanding internal financial imbalances, the balance of payment in 1994-95 showed improvement on several counts as exports grew by 17.9% as against negative growth in 1993-94, and there was a sharp improvement of 20% in home remittances, and for the first time foreign exchange reserves were built up with only a nominal increase in the countrys short term liabilities. Another redeeming feature has been more than 100% rise in foreign investment to 1.53 billion dollars in 1994-95 from 0.65 billion dollars in 1993-94. In 1994-95 the government successfully launched 150 million dollars bond. Imports also swelled up by 16.7% because of the greater inflow of capital goods mainly because of rise in the investment in the power, export-oriented and technology intensive sectors. While noting an appreciable rise in investment, the SBP report says that it can be sustained over the long run only by increase in the level of domestic savings. The national savings in 1994-95 declined to 14.8% from 15.7% in 1993-94 mainly because of a fall in public sector savings although private savings increased to 13.9% of GDP in 1994-95 from 13.1% of GDP in 1993-94. 951009 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Saudi Companys thinking of cancelling sugar deals ------------------------------------------------------------------- Syed Rashid Husain RIYADH, Oct. 8: The Saudi Chambers of Commerce and Industry has warned the local Saudi traders against dealing with sugar traders in Pakistan, press reports indicate. Saudi trading houses have also been advised to review all their agreements with Pakistani trades dealing in sugar and exporting to Saudi Arabia. In view of the above directive from the local chamber, Saudi companies are now thinking in terms of cancelling their agreements with Pakistani traders. Australia and Brazil are vying to take over the business lost by Pakistan. The warning from the Saudi Chamber of Commerce and Industry was issued after the Government of Pakistan cancelled all valid export licenses issued to sugar plants and dealers and on the basis of which sugar exporters from Pakistan had entered into business deals with their Saudi counterparts. Savola company one of the leading importers of sugar in the Kingdom and who are also putting up a sugar refinery in collaboration with a UK company, has already ceased dealings with Pakistan for its raw sugar requirements. It is now importing raw sugar from countries other than Pakistan in order to avoid losses because of sudden backing out of the exporter from the agreement. Such a situation may put in jeopardy the entire operation of big companies such as Savola. The Saudi market consumes about 480,000 tons of Sugar per annum. The total sugar required by the Kingdom is imported by five major companies from world markets and is then repackaged here for retail sales. Saudi sugar traders have pointed out that such overnight changes in policy would affect the very credibility of Pakistani exporters and their Saudi counterparts would be reluctant to place orders in future with Pakistani traders. It shows a complete lack of planning and inventory management. Pakistani government officials should have properly projected the production and demand of sugar within Pakistan. Only after such an evaluation they should have issued licenses for export. But once these licenses were issued, the government should have honoured it. Such short-sighted decisions would have a bearing on Pakistans credibility and future exports. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rs 50bn loss due to 15 strikes, says N D Khan ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 9: Renewing his call to the MQM to resume negotiations aimed at restoring peace in Karachi, Federal Law Minister N.D. Khan claimed on Monday that people would reject Mian Nawaz Sharifs call to observe a black day on Oct 19. Mr Khan said the economy suffered a loss of Rs.50 billion owing to 16 strikes in Karachi. This, he said, exposed elements who were harming the national interests and pushing up inflation, prices and un- employment. Mr Khan, however, made it clear that the government will not bow to any pressure, nor will it be blackmailed to even consider any thing extra-constitutional in nature. 951010 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Steps to cut borrowings Fiscal situation to be monitored. ------------------------------------------------------------------- Bureau Report ISLAMABAD, Oct. 9: The government has authorised the State Bank to resort to some fiscal management measures to avert excessive borrowing if it found at the end of each month that expenditures had exceeded receipts, on pro rata basis. Dr Masood said the government had asked all the big public sector bodies like, the WAPDA, PTC, State Bank and the collector of petroleum and gas surcharges, to make their payments which he called lumpy payments due to the government on monthly basis and we will enforce this rule as strictly as we do with tax collection. He said after close analysis the government had come to the conclusion that bank borrowing should be monitored on monthly basis and income and expenditure managed on pro rata basis. He maintained that the 1995-96 budget targets were achievable. We will meet the budgetary deficit target of 5 per cent and collect the estimated revenues of Rs270 billion and the autonomous bodies would earn enough profits to make their estimated contribution to the budget. According to him the economy was not facing any structural problems. We are only facing a synchronisation problem. Nothing is wrong with our policy stance. He attributed excessive borrowing in the first quarter of the current year partly to last years debt overhang. Dr Ghafoor, additional secretary at the economic affairs division, who assisted Dr Waqar during the briefing, answering a question, said the serious depletion in foreign exchange reserves was due mainly to some major repayments in September and non-reporting of receipts of project and other foreign assistance in time. He rejected the suggestion that the depletion of the FE reflected the reported 20 per cent decline in exports, and said according to final estimates the decline in exports in this period was not more than 5 per cent. Earlier, the prime ministers press assistant Farhatullah Baber, who opened the briefing, claimed that the state of the economy was not as bad as was being presented by way of the Press. He claimed that the positive aspects of the report were ignored by most of the newspapers. He said while the government could not meet most of the economic targets set for last year, there was, however, a distinct overall improvement across the board compared to the situation obtaining in the previous three years. Mr Babar conceded that during the first quarter of the current year, bank borrowing did actually reach a record Rs38 billion, but later, he claimed, it came down to Rs27 billion. He said that the government did not dispute the inflation figures, and was doing everything possible to overcome the problem. But attributed part of the blame for high inflation to costly edible oil imports and partly to hoarding of sugar and other essential commodities. 951011 ------------------------------------------------------------------- World Bank report lauds SAP ------------------------------------------------------------------- Bureau Report ISLAMABAD, Oct. 10: Pakistan is rated below countries with comparable economies, in the field of education, fertility, nutrition and health, according to a World Bank report on public and private initiatives, released on Tuesday. It said that even after years of vigorous economic growth, Pakistans average family was large, poorly educated, undernourished and unhealthy. Female illiteracy is among the highest in the world and health, particularly in urban areas, is poor, the report said. Although 40% of Pakistani women wanted to avoid pregnancy, family planning services were weak and fertility rate was striking at 5.7%. With the World Bank support, Pakistan had now embarked on the national Social Action Programme (SAP) that encouraged individual communities to improve social services themselves, with the ultimate aim of bringing the countrys social indicators into line with its high level of economic achievement, it said. Projections suggested that returns on social investment in Pakistan, both social and economic, would almost certainly outstrip other types of investments, the report said. Previous piecemeal attempts by the provinces, it said, had largely failed, forcing Pakistan to commit itself to increase national investment in the social service and to promote the ideal of smaller, healthier, better-fed and better-educated families. Under the plan, Pakistan would decentralise the delivery of social services and clarify the various responsibilities of the four social service agencies. It would also enter into annual agreements with private sector providers, the performance of which would be assessed on the basis of detailed operational plans and measurable targets, the report said. It said the most innovative feature of Pakistans SAP was its emphasis on participatory development. Through non-governmental organisations and other private institutions, the programme encouraged people to initiate projects to improve social service within their own community, the report added. The participatory development programme, it said, would distribute $10 million in grants to community organisations, non-governmental organisations, private institutions, foundations, academic and research organisations and government agencies that came up with community-based cost recovery schemes or ways to deliver services that were better suited to local needs. The report said about 10,000 NGOs were providing social services to communities throughout Pakistan and were in a better position to identify projects and to organise, run and mediate partnerships between small communities and the government. 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- World Bank faces funding crisis ------------------------------------------------------------------- WASHINGTON, Oct 11: World Bank officials, facing a funding crisis of unprecedented proportions, are appealing to the United States not to shirk its responsibilities to the worlds 3 billion poor. In his opening address to the Banks annual meeting, Wolfensohn made a direct appeal to the Republican-controlled Congress to reconsider reductions in the Banks International Development Association, which provides low-cost loans to the worlds 78 poorest countries. He said threatened US cuts would likely be matched by other wealthy donor countries, resulting in a 50 % loss in planned IDA loans. He said for every dollar cut by the United States, IDA could lose a total of five dollars as other nations reduce their contributions proportionately, he said. While I cannot promise results, I can pledge our utmost effort to restore proposed congressional cuts, Rubin said. 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Concern over UBL sale move ------------------------------------------------------------------- Staff Reporter KARACHI, Oct 11: The United Group of Employees Management has expressed concern over an advertisement published in a leading newspaper about the sale of the United Bank and has asked the Privatisation Commission to implement its policy of golden hand-shake first. In a statement, the UGEM also reminded the Privatisation Commission of its promise to offer the bank to the employees for its purchase before putting it for sale to others. It also claimed that caution money of Rs 20,000 (non- refundable) was also deposited with the Privatisation Commission, and accordingly, the UGEM was the first party to deposit the amount and submit an application in this regard. After depositing the amount, the UGEM asked for forms as per rules and regulations, but the request was turned down, stating that forms could be had by Oct 23. The advertisement, however, showed that forms could be obtained the same day when the caution money was deposited. The refusal by the Privatisation Commission to give forms, according to its own condition in the advertisement, after depositing the amount showed violation of its own publication, the UGEM said. The President of United Bank Employees Federation, Maqsood Ahmed Farooqi, and the Secretary-General of United Bank Officers Federation, Ghulam Ghouse Khan, also expressed concern over the sale advertisement. DAWNFacts*DAWNFacts*DAWNFacts*DAWNFacts*DAWNFacts*DAWNFacts*DAWNFacts* DAWN FACTS Another first from the DAWN Group of Newspapers --- the people who brought you the first on-line newspaper from Pakistan --- comes DAWN Facts, a new and powerful Fax-on-Demand service, the first service of its kind in Pakistan, giving you access to a range of information and services. Covering all spheres of life, the service arms you with facts to guide you through the maze of life, corporate and private, in Pakistan. With information on the foreign exchange rates, stock market movements, the weather and a complete entertainment guide, DAWN Facts is your one- stop source of information. DAWN Facts is available 24 hours a day, 7 days a week! 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EDITORIALS & FEATURES

=================================================================== 951006 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Bare bones  unrefuted ------------------------------------------------------------------- Ardeshir Cowasjee THE penultimate paragraph of my September 1 column, The bare bones, quoting a sane senior Pakistani international civil servant, read: There is a risk that Pakistan will join the many countries in Africa and soon become one of the failed states. This risk draws closer every day. The real fear is that if things slide as they are doing, sometime early in the next century there may not be a State of Pakistan. The conclusion was that I shared his foreboding, and I asked those who disagreed to write in. The letters of 13 of those who did write to the editor of this newspaper have been printed. Others have rung, and some have written to me directly (one without naming himself for reasons of security!). Only one man has disagreed with the prognosis  Nazim Haji, of the CPLC who by virtue of his chosen voluntary vocation lives close to reality, misery, deprivation, coercion, torture, wanton destruction and all that goes with them. I disagree, he wrote, The way things are going, we will witness the disaster much earlier. We will be lucky to celebrate our 50th anniversary unless the silent majority (industrialists, traders, workers, professionals  lawyers, doctors, architects, etc  writers, enlightened politicians / civil servants / armed forces personnel, housewives, etc, etc) wakes up and, preferably jointly, fight for their rights. Mr Abdullah Memon, in his letter, reminded us all that every dark night ends in a bright morning and asked If winter comes can spring be far behind? But, I remind him, that we are now at a stage where philosophical clichis and pirs can no longer help us. Corruption: continues unabated and is aided and abetted by the higher-ups of the land. At a recent briefing of foreign Press correspondents, the question was asked of the prime minister whether she was aware that her country had been rated the third most corrupt country of the world. Rather than refute the rating, the prime minister held that some economists maintain that in developing countries corruption is a necessary evil that provides incentives for development. She may have picked up this idea from Joseph Nye, who accompanied US Defence Secretary William Perry on his visit to Pakistan. He once wrote that he thought that perhaps a little bit of corruption in developing countries, at a very low level, helped to push the file faster. By this, he did not mean institutionalised corruption at the topmost level that seeps all the way down to the bottom. Accountability: Malik Mohammed Qasim, virtually the sole member of his party, the PML(Q), now in the PDF coalition, who heads the grand Federal Anti-Corruption Committee, goes after the helpless inconsequential and pursues those out of power. Should he not start in his own backyard, from atop his own ruling coalition, and move downwards. He keeps on complaining that the nationalised banks and DFIs are not cooperating with him. Does he not know who heads these institutions, and by whom these men were hand-picked? It is obvious that all talk of accountability is just a PR cover, a sheer pretence. Exchange rate: When Jinnah made Pakistan, the US dollar was worth Rs 3.3. The politicians of those days had concern for the country, and the dollar remained at this level until 1955 when a dollar could be bought for Rs 4.76. Thereafter, because of fiscal mismanagement and bad governance, it has cost us more and more. Since the beginning of this fiscal year (July 1) the rupee has lost 66 paisa against the dollar. On October 3, the SBP spot buying and selling rates were declared to be Rs 31.62 and Rs 31.7781. There is no apparent factor that can reassure us that the value of the rupee will not tumble further. Growth: There is no entertainment or sport available to the awam other than procreation. For those with more in their pockets, there are other limited sports, but their main entertainment, apart from procreation, seems to be eating and watching the mini-screen, with much consequent damage to their general health and looks. The main growth in our country is bodies. We are listed third in world corruption and we are listed somewhere around third in population growth. These are our two great strengths. The government has finally admitted that we are compounding at the rate of well over 3.5 per cent per year. The money that is coming in from abroad for the control of our population is not being spent for that particular purpose. Into whose pockets is it flowing? Education: with the population growth we have, it is impossible for the literacy rate to even remain steady. It has to decrease, and it is decreasing at an alarming rate. Educational standards are appalling. Educationalist Hikmat Khaleeli related a discussion he had some months ago with Terry Allsop, then a member of the Department of Education at Oxford, who has made a study of the levels of education in various countries. In Asia, our level is comparative with that in Outer Mongolia. And in Africa, we are on a par with Ethiopia. Should Shahnaz Wazir Ali, the prime ministers adviser on education, wish to increase her knowledge, she can contact Allsop, who now heads the African desk at the Overseas Development Authority in London. The Iqra tax is variously and vigorously collected. The people, whether they like it or not, are taxed for education and pay as and where asked. Where does all this money go? Health: If indeed there is a municipal health department in each city and town, the people are certainly not aware of them. Health officers there may be, who make money off their inspection of eating places and retailers of foodstuffs. Take Karachi  how many restaurants or snackbars approach the laid down standards of health and hygiene? We know of the deplorable conditions prevailing in government hospitals. We know of the shortage of life-saving drugs. As national health deteriorates, the demand for pharmaceutical products increases. Their quality and prices are controlled by the corrupt of the health ministry, the prices naturally covering the huge underhand outlays. Remember Kazmi, health minister of the first Benazir government. Is it true he is now living it up in Dallas? Zakat: How much is arbitrarily deducted from the peoples bank accounts and from their various dividends? we do not know, and neither do we know where it all goes. Taxes: Recently figures have been made public whereby it has been made amply evident that those that rule over us pay the least or no taxes at all. Much of the money collected is wasted on foreign junkets and ego trips for our notables, and much is used to maintain their inflated standard of living and playing. The sole point upon which the government and opposition are not at odds is the increase in their own salaries, allowances, and perks. A good deal is also siphoned through the various secret accounts, the spending and skimming from which are no secret from the enemy but only from us, the people. If the people cannot be told how their money is spent, these accounts should at least be listed with the names of their operators. At present, this secret fund money is spent without any check, let alone a counter- check. Environment: Any man with any sense, in or out of government, can, without fear of contradiction, hold that the first essential utility is potable water. Are our environmentalists in search of infinity aware of the percentage of the population that has no access to potable water? It is no use urging those who have no drinking water to plant and nurture trees. Karachi: today, the most important factor. Panmunjong talks continue between the haves and the have-nots. The suffering of the underdog has not lessened at all. The prime minister, armed with her blunderbuss, seems to be convinced that the problem can be shot away and lost. Somewhat like East Pakistan? Out of 273 days (from Jan 1 to Sep 30), Karachi remained closed for 108 days  78 weekend closure, 14 holidays, 16 strikes (two of them government-inspired). Banks remained closed for 111 days (108 plus three: post-budget closing, yearly closing, and strike for Usman Ghanis slaying). The Stock Exchange was closed for 118 days (108 plus 10: four Caliphs deaths, four members deaths, Shab-e-Barat, and Shab-e-Mairaj). The loss in GDP as a result of forced closures has been estimated at Rs 52 billion. (Source: Business Recorder, Oct 4). Our taxes rise, our prices rise, inflation increases. Everything we get in return is on a continuing downslide, deteriorating in value and in standards. How long will it be before we are declared a failed state? 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Began with a bang and ended with a whimper ------------------------------------------------------------------- Cellular telephone technology was allowed into the country with much fanfare, in an attempt to usher in an era of high-tech, sophisticated telecommunications. However, July 2 1995 will forever be remembered as the darkest day in Telecom history when in an arbitrary manner the government thought it wise to ban the use of the pager, cellular phones and card telephones in Karachi. This will have far reaching consequences and is going to cost the government something that even a billion dollars will not buy its credibility. According to a senior executive of Paktel who spoke on conditions of anonymity, Pakistan is not the only country in the world which has cellular phones and is beset with problems of urban terrorism. Sri Lanka is suffering from prolonged armed insurgency, even then the cellular phones are functioning. Yemen was the first country to suspend cellular phones and that was due to the civil war. Pakistan is the second country to do so, for reasons best known to the decision makers, as there has been no let-up in violence since the ban came into effect on July 2 1995. The major losers in the game have been the dealers who had heavily invested in the industry. The nature of the investment is highly capital intensive, and all these dealer companies had raised huge amounts of loans. Approximately,40 to 45 per cent of earnings generate from Karachi alone and this ban has rendered a colossal loss to the exchequer, he went on to add. The combined strength of all the three cellular phones in Karachi is approximately 25,000, rendering a loss in revenue of approximately Rs 50 million per day, by way of dues to the PTC. The 15,000 pagers operating in Karachi alone bring in a revenue of about Rs 1,20,000 per day to the PTC . Taken together, the three cellular phone companies have so far invested at least Rs 6 billion in Pakistan. Another Rs 300 million was invested in setting up 1500 card telephones all over the city. Karachi has always been a flagship city for any commercial activity. Allowing them to operate in other cities does not compensate in tangible terms to a lost out market. When the entire world is edging towards high-tech communications it wont be long before we have to resort to Pigeons as our mode of sending messages. TJ. 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- SAP: myths and realities ------------------------------------------------------------------- Akbar Sher Babar RECENTLY, a number of articles have appeared reviewing the Social Action Programme. The reviews have dealt with issues such as Value of cost-effectiveness in service provision, user changes, public- private partnership and sustainability of the Social Action Programme. None can deny the value of the issues addressed in the review. A number of fallacies and myths are put forward by local and expatriate experts at seminars and workshops, occasions, which only serve the dual purpose of intellectual stimulation and some personal profit. For example, lack of parental support to promote primary education especially for girls is cited as one of the factors for low female literacy rate. Unfortunately, the analyses of these experts do not highlight the critical factors which are the root cause of the slow pace of social development in Pakistan. The critical factors include the politicisation of the civil service and the strong influence of the donors to set development priorities and strategies which may or may not suit the local development environment. Following are some of the symptoms of the politicisation of the civil service that are all too apparent in the development process: * Funds are allocated based on political rather than on professional or community requirements; * Site selection of schemes is subject to political interference; * Incorrect choice of technology, normally the more expensive the choice of technology the greater the returns to the planners and the implementers; * Lack of beneficiary involvement in the planning and implementation of development schemes; and * Frequent transfers of government officials resulting in complete paralysis of line departments. Gross misuse of the available development funds are allocated based on the influence the politicians have at the national, provincial, or local levels. Huge financial outlays under the MNA, MPA, and Senator funds are used for political patronage and personal profit. Some of these funds are distributed to preferred individuals/groups under the pretext of small development schemes which varies in amount from Rs. 10,000 to Rs. 20,000. At the local level, simple decisions such as setting of, schools, rural water supply schemes, and rural health centres are based on political considerations rather than professional or community welfare. Most of these facilities lack any staff to operate and/or are completely devoid of any facilities essential for utilisation of those facilities. As a consequence a number of such facilities built for peoples welfare are used as guest houses by local influential or to house livestock. Thus, huge investments in the construction of primary schools, basic health units, rural health centres, and rural water supply schemes have had little or no beneficial impact on the target communities. Under the present circumstance, the allocation of greater financial resources for capital and O&M costs will only result in more pilferage of the same without any major change in the social indicators. In principle the collaboration between the private sector/NGOs and the government should be encouraged wherever considered cost effective. However, it should not be made an excuse to absolve the government of its primary role of service delivery. Neither should private sector/NGOs be considered an alternative to the Government in providing such service. The NGOs natural inclination is to cater to the urban population. There are considerable doubts about the capacity of the NGOs to cater to the needs of the rural poor on a scale that could result in any improvement in the poor social indicators. Therefore, the only viable and cost effective option for social change is a fully mobilised and committed government system in partnership with credible NGO/private groups. To date, the donors have made no serious attempt at the policy level to address the issue of politicisation of the civil service and its extremely adverse impact on service delivery. 951007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- The dynamics of revolution ------------------------------------------------------------------- By Mazdak It often seems that the distance from Karachis killing fields to Defence and Clifton is the same as the long miles to Islamabad. In both of Pakistans pockets of affluence, there is the same lack of understanding of the dynamics of the situation in Karachi, and the same baffled irritation at the MQM for not falling in line. As the weekly strikes bite deep into the economy as well as the nerves and pockets of rich and poor Karachiites alike, a weary nation silently cries Enough! But the government is clearly playing a waiting game, trying to lock up or kill enough hard-core members of the ethnic party to make it reduce its long list of demands before signing an agreement. The MQM, for its part, is determined to keep the city on edge through its weekly strikes and hit-and-run tactics. We, the blood-spattered audience and victims, want them both to stop the fight and accept a draw, but in the absence of a referee, the fighters continue to slug it out. The government, sitting comfortably and safely in Islamabad, or whizzing past with armed escorts in Karachi, can afford the luxury of wearing the MQM down. Its biggest concern is not with the lives or the livelihood of individual victims, but with declining revenues and cancelled MOUs. As long as the macro- economic indicators are within acceptable limits, the government feels it has enough time to stall. The MQM, for its part, has very little to lose because it can force the city to come to a standstill once a week through the fear it has spread. In fact, people are coming to terms with weekly strikes. What is at the root of this implacable determination? What prompts the Mohajirs of Sindh to vote for the MQM time and again? Arif Hasan, in a long and perceptive article in the September issue of the monthly Herald, has gone to the heart of the matter. Mr Hasan is ideally qualified for analysing the situation, According to him, what we are witnessing in Karachi today is a major conflict between the evolving urban capitalist culture of the city and its development plus operations and maintenance requirements on the one hand, and the nature of the Pakistan state and the system of patronage, nepotism, adhocism, corruption, parochialism and exploitation that are integral to it, on the other hand. This may be a long and involved sentence, but it underlines the essence of the deadlock: the state is unwilling to countenance the emergence of a system based on merit and competition  the core of the urban, capitalist culture  because it would cut across, and ultimately replace, the network of relatives and cronies who support and sustain the present dispensation. To substantiate his argument, Mr Hasan has given details of the all-pervasive system of extortion, bribery and sifarish on which virtually all business transactions in the city are based where the vast public sector is concerned. No beggar, no street seller and no small businessman can operate without paying off the cops. Nobody can supply goods and services to the provincial or federal government in Karachi without bribing a succession of officials and politicians and their touts. No young graduate can hope to get a government job without sifarish or a bribe. Usually, both are needed. Whether it is credit from the House Building Finance Corporation to build a house, or an electricity connection >from KESC, nothing moves without a bribe. And the situation is worse in the katchi abadis where the poorest of the poor live. So why should these well-known, deeply-entrenched problems give rise to the quasi-civil war that is taking place in Karachi? Mr Hasan reminds us that this inability to compete on merit and exercise ones entrepreneurial skills have been responsible for many bourgeois revolutions in nineteenth and early twentieth century Europe. In Karachi, these economic and social forces have been given an ethnic edge by the historical coincidence that concentrated Indian Muslims and their descendants here in such large numbers. Mr Hasan ascribes the large MQM vote bank in Karachi to the middle class leadership of the party which is in sharp contrast to the feudal nature of other mainstream parties, as a result of which they do not address the problems of the working classes. The second reason is that in the absence of an institutional framework that protects the poor from exploitation, they group together to forge ethnic bonds as a way to protect themselves from the state and its predatory agents. The Karachi situation is part of the larger crisis looming across the Pakistani horizon. With the consolidation of capitalist farming, urbanisation and increased literacy, the old pattern of inter-class relations has changed. Ethnic groups and communities to whom history had assigned specific roles are now competing with communities and groups that were more advanced than them. In the absence of appropriate institutional arrangements to deal with this situation, the old institutions have become irrelevant and ineffective, and hence corrupt... 951008 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Ordeal of ID cards ------------------------------------------------------------------- Editorial Column COMPLAINTS have been mounting about the hassles involved in securing national identity cards. While the rightful seekers of ID cards find it extremely difficult to obtain them, there are hosts of unauthorised people in possession of genuine or fake cards. Since 1973 when this scheme was introduced in the country, corruption made deep inroads into the different layers of the organisational set-up. Initially, the application forms were meant to be freely available; now they are not. Touts and agents supply them at a price depending on the urgency of need or the financial capacity of the applicants. The forms are to be submitted at designated registration offices. In most cases, because of a huge rush, applicants fail to reach the windows meant for receiving applications. If they somehow manage to submit their forms, often they are not issued a proper receipt. Instead, they are asked to present themselves at the same counter after about a week to be told whether or not their forms are in order. Even at that stage they are confronted with many real or imaginary objections. In sheer desperation, they eventually seek the assistance of agents who hang around registration offices and flourish on the miseries of the helpless ID card seekers. The national identity card scheme was launched primarily with two objectives: to ensure accuracy of census and to check the influx of illegal immigrants. Neither has been achieved. Many ID cards are issued without proper verification. According to a report, in Karachi alone over ten million ID cards have so far been issued although the number of eligible nationals is much less. As ID card is the basic document for identification of an individual and for the exercise of his rights as a bona fide national, many unauthorised persons have obtained it through questionable means. Besides identification, the card is needed for enrolment on voters lists, recruitment in government, semi-government and private services, elimination of fake witnesses in courts, obtaining passports or any other national documents, getting admission in educational institutions and making any business deal. It is ironical that while obtaining an ID card has become an ordeal for genuine citizens, an estimated three million non-nationals are believed to be in illegal possession of it. Most problems associated with the issuance of the ID card emanate from administrative and procedural weaknesses. In the beginning, registration offices all over the country were set up district-wise. But this arrangement has proved totally inadequate. Police verification of individual cases must also be made an expeditious process. To make these measures workable, efficient organisational set-up will be required. Only then can securing the ID card be made a reasonably painless process.
 
951009
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The PPP in Punjab: staving off the inevitable
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Ayaz Amir
WHETHER the PPP has its own chief minister presiding over the 
corruption-ridden politics of Punjab, a possibility mercifully 
averted, or whether it appoints another senior minister with 
plenipotentiary powers, Punjab is a lost cause for it. That is the 
writing on the wall and if Ms Bhutto of the regal and blithe manner 
chooses to ignore it so much the worse for the future of her party.
It is not even fair to say that the PPP lost Punjab in 1993 or 1988 
for that matter. Paradoxically, the partys decline in the powerhouse 
of Pakistani politics began on the day Ms Bhutto, after capping the 
period of her self-imposed exile, arrived in Lahore on the morning of 
April 10, 1986. The ecstatic welcome she received on that occasion 
almost lent substance to the impression that all of Punjab lay at her 
feet. 
But by moving systematically from the left to the centre and then even 
further to the right and by picking flunkies and hangers-on to head 
the partys affairs in the province she set in motion that chain of 
events which has seen a drastic loss of support for the party at the 
grass-roots level. It still has a vote bank but over the years this 
has shrunken in size to the point that today, if one is to go by the 
evidence of ones senses, it is significantly smaller than that of the 
PML(N).
Anyone inclined to dispute this judgement should take time out to 
visit the Punjab countryside. The opprobrium which the present PPP 
government has managed to accumulate for itself, whether because of 
its record or the tales of high corruption surrounding its leaders, 
will come as a great eye-opener.
Nawaz Sharif was not a particularly successful prime minister either 
but this much can be said for him that because of some of his 
development plans he had come to be seen in the public eye as a man of 
action, as someone who wanted to do something for the country. Most of 
those schemes might not stand up to critical scrutiny but they served 
their purpose by influencing the current of public opinion. 
Ms Bhutto, on the other hand, cannot claim credit for a single policy 
or development scheme which could win public approval for her. On the 
contrary, she is held directly responsible for the inflation and 
maladministration now holding the country in their thrill.
There is a misconception about political patronage which has acquired 
wide currency and which lies behind much of the manoeuvring which the 
nation has recently witnessed in Punjab. It consists of the belief 
that the doling out of patronage can win popular support. The evidence 
of Pakistani history should belie this judgement because the people 
time and again, whether in the Ayub era or subsequently, have 
responded not to the blandishments of pork but to appeals addressed to 
their inner-most feelings. 
This is how Bhutto and Mujib rode the crest of popular sympathy in 
1970. Even if it be thought that the era of charismatic politics in 
Pakistan is over it is still instructive to bear in mind that Nawaz 
Sharifs present popularity owes little to the fact that he held the 
purse-strings of Punjab in his hands during the period of his chief 
ministership. It stems more from the way he defied Ghulam Ishaq Khan 
in 1993.
Or consider Wattoos case. A prince of patronage before his fall. 
Practically a nonentity now. Which does not mean that patronage is of 
no account in politics. Only this that it can never be a substitute 
for popular policies. In order to believe in a leader the people must 
feel that he or she belongs to them.
It is Ms Bhuttos singular accomplishment that despite the legacy of 
her father, who blazed new trails in popular politics, she has removed 
herself from the pale of public sympathy. Five years ago who could 
have thought that Nawaz Sharif, rising to political prominence from 
the bosom of a military dictatorship, could ever take her place? 
Today, however, if there is a popular leader in Punjab it is not 
Zulfikar Ali Bhuttos daughter but, come to think of it, Mian Mohammad 
Sharifs son. No amount of patronage doled out in Punjab is going to 
alter this fact, at least not till the next elections.
But then how are we to account, the sceptically-inclined might ask, 
for Benazirs second coming as prime minister? After all, defying past 
trends, she is the only leader in Pakistan to have staged a comeback. 
An explanation for this phenomenon must be sought in her stars and the 
ill-luck of her predecessor who invited tragedy for himself by picking 
an unnecessary quarrel with his protector, the then President Ghulam 
Ishaq Khan. 
This explanation, admittedly, is a thin one because what counts in 
politics, as indeed in life, is success and not how one comes by it. 
Still, to the extent that it indicates that Ms Bhuttos second 
ascension to power has little to do with any rise in her popularity, 
it remains relevant to the predicament her party faces in Punjab.
To go over the reasons for the precipitous decline in the PPPs Punjab 
fortunes amounts to beating a dead horse. Not only are these reasons 
well known to the initiated. They are engraved in iron on the souls of 
the partys disaffected workers whose eyes were set on the promised 
land when Benazir returned to Pakistan in 1986. Suffice it to say that 
the PPPs fate was sealed when a second-ranking carpetbagger like 
Jehangir Badr was appointed to run its affairs in Punjab. If anything 
could have taken that process further it was the Lady Nahid Khans 
apotheosis as virtual boss of the provincial party during Benazirs 
second prime ministership. It would be silly to deny that Nahid has 
her qualities and uses but to make her the virtual keeper of the 
partys keys is a blow not so much to its dispirited battalions as to 
the memory of the partys founder. Zulfikar Ali Bhutto may have 
deserved many things but not this.
Into what precise events the partys decline is translated in the 
future remains to be seen because predicting the course of Pakistani 
politics is a hazardous business. There has never been an orderly or 
strictly constitutional transfer of power in Pakistan before and, 
given the state of our democracy, it is tempting the fates to say that 
there will be one when the term of the present government draws to a 
close. Even so, what we are seeing is a watershed of sorts with a 
political party which has left its mark on Pakistani politics losing 
its mass appeal through a natural process and being replaced in the 
popular mind by a rejuvenated Muslim League. Come the next elections 
and this transformation should change the political landscape of 
Pakistan provided no miracles intervene.
In this analysis (if it can be dignified by that name there are no 
lessons for the PPP because the PPP of Asif Ali Zardari and the Lady 
Nahid are beyond correcting and improving. Nothing can swerve it from 
the self-defeating course it is set on. But there are lessons for the 
PML(N) which would do both itself and the people of the country a 
favour if it forswore the tactics of empty agitation (such as the 
Tehrik-i-Nijat last year which exposed its hollow threats) and set its 
eyes instead on preparing for the next elections. For unruly 
politicians intent on reaping quick harvests this is probably a tall 
order. But waiting for the next elections is not only a requirement of 
our erratic and fragile democracy. It is also a dictate of necessity. 
Through its ill-conceived campaign last year the PML(N) tried its best 
to force the issue but as even a half-informed observer might have 
warned it, its bringing-the-government-down movement fizzled out 
leading to exhaustion and demoralisation in its ranks and a feeling of 
triumph on the part of the government. If nothing else this proves 
that as with the PPP the level of everyday discernment in the PML(N) 
is also quite low.
The real problem before the country, however, is not who wins power in 
Punjab but how this power is used to modernise the archaic structure 
of the Pakistani state. In the latest issue of the monthly Herald, 
Arif Hasan perceptively points out that the aspirations of the lower 
middle and working classes are increasingly in conflict with the 
nature of the Pakistani state and its hallmarks of patronage, 
nepotism, adhocism, corruption, parochialism and exploitation. What to 
talk of the will to settle this conflict, the PPP has not even the 
barest understanding of it. Can the PML(N), the alternative on the 
national stage, do any better? That, and not just the acquisition of 
power, is the true challenge facing its leadership.
 
951010
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Not a clean bill of health
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Editorial Column
CONCERN has rightly been expressed by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) 
over the intensification of inflationary pressure during the last 
fiscal year. What is more worrying is the feet that it shows no signs 
of 
abating. The year 1994-95 to which the State Bank's Annual Report, 
released on Sunday, relates was a year of failure in achieving most of 
the key sector targets although the economy did register improvements 
in many areas. However, the, most depressing aspect remains the rising 
prices. The Report records anxiety over the failure to reduce the rate 
of action to the targeted 7%. Instead, the consumer price index (CPI) 
registered an increase of 12.9% which was perhaps the highest increase 
in Pakistan's history. This country has always experienced moderate 
inflation. The present trend of high inflation rate started in 1990-91 
when the CPI touched 12.7% mark and since then has refused to relent.  
Analysing, the causative factors, the State Bank has blamed low 
economic growth, large budgetary deficit, high monetary expansion and 
increases in administered prices of food items and in charges of 
utilities for 
the intensification of inflationary pressure. The government failed to 
reduce the deficit - the main cause of inflation - to the targeted 
level of 4% of the GDP, although it may be said to its credit that it 
succeeded in bringing it down from 8%, which it had inherited in 1993, 
to 5.5% last year. The continuing wide gap between resources and 
expenditure made it necessary for the government to have resort to the 
banking system for budgetary support far in excess of the original 
target of Rs 15 billion. 
Throughout the year the governments borrowing remained higher than 
the previous year's total borrowing of Rs 19 billion. Apart from bank 
borrowing, the deficit was also covered by the utilisation of a part 
of the privatisation proceeds. These actions contributed to the 
monetary expansion which was further strengthened by borrowing by 
public sector corporations and a substantial increase in lending by 
the Agricultural Development Bank and the Small Business Corporation 
under the government-sponsored credit schemes.
Major failure occurred in revenue collection which registered a 
shortfall of Rs 39 billion. Pakistan has never had a proper tax 
culture. It inherited from the colonial rulers a state which was 
looked upon as oppressive and not at all interested in the welfare of 
the people. Unfortunately, this perception of the state being 
oppressive and 
indifferent to public welfare still persists despite the lapse of half 
a century. In recent years the alienation has been further accentuated 
by acute maldistribution of income due to pervasive corruption and 
inequitable incidence of taxes. 
Not only that those who legislate taxes exempt major sources of their 
own income; they do not even care to pay whatever little they are 
liable to pay. In such an environment the rulers lack the necessary 
moral 
strength to enforce fulfilment of tax obligations. Unless all incomes, 
including agricultural incomes, are brought within the tax net and 
privileges are eliminated, budget deficit will continue to stay at an 
unacceptable level. What is more, there is no visible reduction in 
government's lavish and ostentatious spending. These factors led to 
the failure in raising the contribution of taxes to the contemplated 
20% of the GDP. The enlarged budget deficit had to be met from 
domestic and foreign borrowings. Such borrowings over the last many 
years have landed Pakistan into a debt-trap where it has to borrow to 
service old loans. The total national debt, as of June 30 last, stood 
at Rs 1,556.6 billion - Rs 796.8 billion being domestic - and 
constituted 83.3% of the GDP. The servicing of this huge debt is 
inconsistent with the existing 
revenue generation scope of the state. The State Bank has, therefore, 
strongly advocated the enlargement of the coverage of income and 
consumption taxes. In order to contain the effect of these taxes on 
inflation, production needs to be exempted or taxed lightly and 
selectively, while consumption has to be taxed widely but at low 
rates. All taxes must be collected efficiently and unsparingly. High 
increases in utility charges and prices of food items and petroleum 
products have contributed heavily to inflation.  
Notwithstanding the internal financial imbalances, the balance of 
payments improved during the year under review on account of increases 
in exports by about 18% against previous year's negative 1.4% and in 
expatriates remittances by 20%. Deregulation of investment and 
liberalisation of exchange controls created a favourable environment 
for foreign - investment which increased by more than 100% to $1.53 
billion. Imports also increased by almost the same ratio as exports. 
The welcome aspect of imports has been a greater inflow of capital 
goods mainly because of the current emphasis on power generation and 
encouragement of export-oriented and technology-packed industries. The 
disconcerting aspect, however, is the decline in domestic savings. 
This decline is largely due to substantial dissaving in the public 
sector, mainly because of the budget deficit. This deficit has to be 
controlled if development is to be sustained and inflation brought 
under control. 
 
951007
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Corruption at the top
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Editorial Column
THE federal commerce minister's appeal to the people to help eradicate 
corruption is not the first time a public leader has harped on this 
theme. The widespread prevalence of corruption in Pakistan and the 
need for rooting it out are favourite topics of discussion, especially 
among the higher echelons of leadership. Chaudhri Ahmad Mukhtar has 
taken the plea that the government cannot deal with this menace 
single-handedly. He has placed the onus of bringing honest leaders 
into office on the public. With Pakistan having been assessed as being 
one of the most corrupt countries in the world by the Berlin based 
Transparency International, one would fault Ahmad Mukhtar's concern on 
this score. One can, however, well ask him why the government of which 
the honourable minister is a member cant do something about the 
corrupt practices of its own high functionaries.  
The facts is that broadly streaking, the corruption one sees in public 
life is of two kinds. One is that practised by the administration in 
the course of performing its duties. At times the gratification an 
official 
seeks is in essence a glorified tip which he demands almost as a 
matter of right for doing a certain job promptly and efficiently.  The 
bureaucrats are also known for bending the laws for monetary gains, 
political favours and nepotism. The other corruption is the one in 
which the political leaders indulge to amass a fortune while they are 
in a position to do so. Obviously, the members of a ruling party, 
especially  holding an office of importance, have greater 
opportunities for featherbedding. What needs to be emphasised is that 
the corruption of the political leaders is the bigger of the two evils 
because it sets the tone and pace for the lower functionaries. A 
corrupt leader has no moral standing to check the wrong doings of his 
subordinates. On the contrary, he has perforce to give protection to 
the corrupt in his department to save his own skin.
With corruption flowing from top downwards, it is at that level that 
any move to contain the spreading scourge must begin. Given the 
exorbitant amounts politicians are required to spend on their 
elections, it is not quite surprising (though not justifiable) that 
many of them want to make most of their opportunities for self-
gratification while the sun shines on their political fortunes. It is 
plain that the rule imposing a ceiling of one million rupees on the 
election expenses of an MNA is flouted blatantly. With politics turned 
into of a money game in Pakistan; corruption has emerged as an 
integral part of the post-election scenario. The compulsion for an 
elected leader to make money can be somewhat eased if the election 
rules are changed and the money factor in politics ceases to be a 
prime determinant.  
There is also the need to strengthen the mechanisms for weeding out 
corruption. Some institutions already exist for this purpose. These 
include the Federal Anti-Corruption Committee and the ombudsman. They 
need to be activated further to make them effective against corruption 
among politicians and in government. The government should also take 
the initiative to set up a body comprising honest and public-spirited 
non-government figures to expose corruption and generate pressure for 
its eradication. The media can also play an important role in this 
context. But without a public agency of the kinds suggested above, the 
newspapers often find themselves exposed to pressures and intimidation 
by the tainted among the rulers and their minions. Since there are 
members of the government who have started stressing the need for 
crusading against corruption, one can hope that they will not hesitate 
to act to prevent and control it. Even if it means risking the wrath 
of the powerful in doing so, one hopes that the few honest politicians 
who are still around will act to bring some decency and propriety to 
politics. 
 
951006
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
If only they would see reason  
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Editorial Column
CONSIDER or perhaps weigh the following nuggets of news and you will 
get an idea of the sum total of doom being employed to come to grips 
with the problem of Karachi. Shazia Farooq, wife of the late Farooq 
Dada, is released after being kept in custody from the time her 
husband died. The confiscated passport of Sheikh Liaquat Hussain, a 
member of MQM negotiating team, is to be returned to him. The police 
will again 
provide protection to the MQM negotiating team. These are some of the 
steps the government is taking in order to facilitate the resumption 
of the stalled talks with the MQM. The magnitude of these steps may 
bring 
a wry look on the face of the bemused observer but then in a hopeless 
situation it is churlish not to be grateful for small mercies.  
All the pleas made by the national Press for a greater element of 
seriousness and sincerity to enter the talks between the government 
and the MQM have fallen largely on deaf ears. The way the talks have 
progressed so far (if progress indeed is the right word to use in the 
circumstances) is reminiscent of the talks that used to be held at the 
height of the cold war between North and South Korea along their 
common 
border. After reading lengthy wooden statements the two sides would 
disperse to meet again. Everyone concerned speaks solemnly and even 
pretentously about the Karachi situation but little of these feelings 
permeate the negotiations being conducted (and then broken off) by 
both sides. Professional casuists would no doubt be thrilled by the 
passion for hair-splitting on ample display in these talks but not 
anyone 
concerned about the unrest and violence playing havoc with Karachi.  
There is, of course, no shortage around of pious intentions. When 
President Farooq Leghari was in Karachi earlier this week, he said 
things which would find a ready echo in the hearts of most 
Karachiites. Stressing the need for a genuine and meaningful dialogue 
to resolve the problems of Karachi, he expressed concern about the 
high-handedness that often takes place when the police and the Rangers 
lay siege to entire localities and make indiscriminate arrests. Such 
practices, he said, would prove counter-productive and would alienate 
the people because any anti-terrorist strategy must lie within the 
ambit of the rule of law. These are sensible and wise words but to 
listen to them on one side and then to see the reality of Karachi on 
the other makes us wonder whether there is any communication between 
the various organs of the state.  
General Babar may have brought a fierce single-mindedness to the fight 
against violence in Karachi but it is a moot point whether he is at 
all capable of realising the extent of the resentment being caused in 
that city as a result of the excesses often committed by the law 
enforcement agencies. Breaking the law in order to uphold the majesty 
of the law is one contradiction in terms that we would do well to 
avoid. At the same time, the MQM must cast an eye over its chosen 
tactics to put pressure on the government. Not only that Karachi has 
had enough of strikes and the disruptions and losses that they entail, 
and could do without them in the future. The frequent resort to them, 
>from  the standpoint of practicality, dilutes their efficaciousness. 
The MQM speaks for the majority of the population of Karachi. There is 
no need to prove this point every other day. But then both sides, 
sadly are set on parallel courses. If only at some point (through a 
miracle we have yet to know anything about) their disparate paths 
could converge. 
 
950911
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Attack on Sindh Secretariat
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
ALTHOUGH Karachi has lived with violence for a long time, there are 
certain designated areas of the city, where most of this violence has 
been regularly played out. The precision rocket attacks at the very 
heart of the Sindh government break this complacent pattern and cast 
wry light on the claims of various government stalwarts, not least 
among them the redoubtable General Babar, that the back of terrorism 
(an increasingly fashionable phrase these days) has been broken.
In a manner to vivid for comfort, the rockets fired at the Sindh 
Secretariat bring home the harsh reality with which Karachi has been 
struggling for the last so many years. It is no small cause for 
thanksgiving that the damage has not been greater than it is or that 
no lives were lost in what easily could have-turned into a wider 
catastrophe.  
But these considerations apart, this attack, its dramatic impact on 
the public imagination not withstanding, is no more serious or heinous 
than the daily killings which take place in the troubled parts of 
Karachi. 
Consequently, it is not the firing of the rockets themselves that 
should be the major object of our concern. Concern should rather be 
centred on the fact that urban terrorism has dug deep roots in the 
country's largest city. As long as this tragic phenomenon persists and 
as long as innocent people get killed (to the extent that if only five 
people are gunned down in Karachi on any given day instead of a dozen 
it is considered a sign of normality) there is no saying what ugly or 
still more dramatic forms this terrorism will take.
Nor do these rockets alter the importance of what we on our part or 
concerned citizens on theirs have been saying all along: that it is 
not by the use of palliatives or the thunder of empty words that the 
gathering mayhem in Karachi can be contained but by the exercise of 
political will of the most serious kind at the highest levels of 
government. What is happening in Karachi, or rather to Karachi, is 
central to the well-being of the country. If this realisation does not 
sink in or, in other words, if we remain bereft of vision as all the 
current signs indicate we are, then all we can look forward to is more 
hair-splitting and more time-wasting along the lines of what the 
nation has been treated to during the course of the talks between the 
government and the MQM.
Who is behind the rocket attacks is an important question but one 
whose importance must be kept in perspective. When a fire is raging 
there is not much point in blaming this or that piece of incendiary 
material 
for the conflagration. The problem in Karachi today is to strike at 
the roots of its distress, not just attack the symptoms. In this 
connection it is worth pointing out that General Babar is doing a 
soldier's duty in Karachi. 
In the prevailing lawlessness of the city this is perhaps a necessary 
function to perform. But it is scarcely enough. To the distress of 
Karachi must also be applied the balm of statesmanship, something that 
we find woefully lacking in the ongoing tragedy of this once peaceful 
city.
 
951012
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Danger alert by State Bank
------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Sultan Ahmed
WITH its history of dominance in too many areas, the government could 
not have liked the State Banks disapproval of its fiscal and monetary 
policies, and the underscoring of a critical situation the nation 
could face unless urgent remedial measures were taken.
Had the situation been not so bad, the Banks board of directors, 
which consists mostly of officials like finance secretary or retired 
senior officials would not have adopted this kind of annual report. In 
fact what the report says is the same that the IMF, World Bank, donor 
states and sane economists at home have all along been putting their 
finger on.
Of course, the Benazir government could not be blamed exclusively for 
the parlous state of the economy with many seemingly unsolvable 
problems. Many of them are legacies of previous regimes, but have 
definitely aggravated during the present governments tenure 
particularly after the ill-advised over-taxation it resorted to last 
year. It failed in it and fell out with the IMF which stopped payment 
of further tranches of the 1.5 billion dollar aid stretched over three 
years under its Extended Structural Adjustment facility.
Surely, problems like the large budget deficit, sustained heavy 
official borrowing, staggering national debt which has mounted to Rs 
1,554.6 billion now, and large bank loan defaults are the result of 
the overhang of many years as the State Bank likes to describe it in 
its Annual Report for 1994-95. The situation is so bad that even the 
much-dreaded public disclosure of the names of the defaulters has not 
resulted in the recovery of more than 15 per cent of the loans two 
years after the lists were out.
The report says that despite the impact of inflation, the people have 
done far better than the government. Private savings rose from 13.1 
per cent of the GDP to 13.9 per cent but public savings dropped from 
2.6 per cent to 0.9 per cent. As a result, national savings came down 
>from  15.7 per cent to 14.8 per cent, marking area increase of just 1.8 
per cent if adjusted for 13 per cent inflation.
Home remittances by overseas Pakistanis rose to 1,866 million dollars 
>from  1,446 million dollars in 1993-94. Pakistanis have kept around 
four billion dollars in the foreign exchange accounts in our banks, 
enabling the government to claim a large foreign exchange reserve, 
contrary to the practice of many countries not to treat short-term 
deposits as the nations reserve.
The SBP wants the government to reduce the budget deficit by 
increasing the real revenues and not by printing more currency notes, 
as has been done for many years. It wants broad-based taxation, which 
should include the large incomes from agriculture. While the 
government is agreeable to that in principle, it is not ready to move 
firmly in that direction and the Constitution helps the farmlords to 
avoid taxes. 
What we have is a highly tangled taxation structure, made far worse by 
corruption of a high level, and the sustained inflation and steady 
devaluation makes investment even more expensive. The SBP also wants 
the government to cut its non-productive and wasteful expenditure, and 
stresses that bank borrowing for its current consumption is even more 
inflationary than if that is spent on development.
It is not that inflation, large budget deficits and unrestrained 
printing of money hurt only the public; its hurts the government as 
well when it is forced to raise the wages of its employees 
substantially, and levy additional taxation to pay the higher wage 
bill which causes public protests. 
The SBP report says, the government is also using the proceeds of 
privatisation to meet its expenditure. Hence instead of using that 
fund to lower the pyramiding national debt it will use Rs 12 billion 
>from  that for the Social Action Programme after it had used Rs 11 
billion last year and Rs 2 billion the year before. And it depends on 
foreign and domestic loans for funding the Annual development 
Programme.

SPORTS

=================================================================== 951012 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Pakistan team in high spirits for today's tie ------------------------------------------------------------------- Special Representative SHARJAH, Oct 11: Pakistans hopes of regaining the title they last won in 1989 received a setback when speed merchant Wasim Akram was ruled out of competition because of `frozen shoulder. Paceman Ataur Rahman, who was named in the stand-byes, has been selected as Akrams replacement and he is scheduled to arrive late Wednesday evening. Mushtaq mentioned, the decision has been taken with a view of the tough tour Down Under. Had Akram aggravated the injury, he would have been unable to tour Australia and New Zealand. We can afford to play without him here but not in Australia. Akram last played for Pakistan in the second Test against Sri Lanka at Faisalabad. In that Test, the allrounder sustained the unique injury which forced him to pull out of the third Test at Sialkot as well as the one-day series. Mushtaq, asked to comment on tomorrows game, said it was crucial in terms of regaining the shattered confidence. The players are determined to do well but in one-day cricket you just cant predict. The former Pakistan captain added that all the players were in fine physical condition. While saying that the playing eleven will be announced shortly before the start of the match, Mushtaq added the team will be a combination of five batsmen, five bowlers and a wicketkeeper. There are indications that Basit Ali will sit out and Saeed Anwar will bat at No 5. Aamir Sohail and Salim Elahi will open the innings and Ramiz Raja and Inzamamul Haq will bat at No 3 and 4 respectively. Leg-spinner Mushtaq Ahmad is also expected to miss the match. Saqlain Mushtaq, Waqar Younis, Mohammad Akram, Aqib Javed and Zafar Iqbal will form the bowling combination. Meanwhile, Sri Lankan opener Roshan Mahanama will also sit out from Thursdays match after he sustained, what the management think, groin injury. His place is likely to be taken by Chandika Hathurusinghe who had a successful tour of Pakistan in which he scored 291 runs with the bat. He, however, did not play in the one-day series. The two teams will be selected from: SRI LANKA: Sanath Jayasuriya, Chandika Hathurusinghe, Asanka Gurusinha, Aravinda de Silva, Arjuna Ranatunga (captain), Hashan Tillekeratne, Rumesh Kaluwitharna, Rawan Kalpage, Muttiah Muralitharan, Pramodiya Wickremasinghe, Kumar Dharmasena, Eric Upashanta, Wendell Labrooy, Roshan Mahanama. PAKISTAN: Aamir Sohail, Salim Elahi, Ramiz Raja (captain), Inzamamul Haq, Saeed Anwar, Moin Khan, Zafar Iqbal, Waqar Younis, Saqlain Mushtaq, Aqib Javed, Mohammad Akram, Mushtaq Ahmad, Basit Ali and Ataur Rahman.

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